2022 SD Governor Race2

2022 SD Governor Race

Summary

The 2022 South Dakota gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of South Dakota. Incumbent Republican Governor Kristi Noem is running for a second term.

Governor Kristi Noem was elected in 2018 with 51% of the vote, and is running for re-election to a second term. The Democratic nominee is state representative Jamie Smith.

Source: Wikipedia

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About

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[16] Solid R March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[17] Solid R March 4, 2022
Sabato’s Crystal Ball[18] Safe R January 26, 2022
Politico[19] Solid R April 1, 2022
RCP[20] Safe R January 10, 2022
Fox News[21] Solid R May 12, 2022
538[22] Solid R June 30, 2022

Web Links

Kristi Noem

Kristi Noem

Current Position: Governor since 2019
Affiliation: Republican
Candidate: 2022 Governor
Former Position(s): US Representative from 2011 – 2019; State Delegate from 2007 – 2011

Featured Quote: 
There’s no place in America like South Dakota. We’d love to have you join us. Come grow your company; live your life; achieve your dreams. We can make it happen for you right now, because South Dakota Means Business.

For more information, go to this post.

Jamie Smith

Jamie Smith

Current Position: State Delegate for District 15
Affiliation: Democrat
Candidate: 2022 Governor

Jamie Smith is an American politician who serves as a member of the South Dakota House of Representatives. Smith represents District 15, which covers downtown neighborhoods, including areas around Terrace Park and the Great Plains Zoo in Sioux Falls, South Dakota. He has served as House Minority Leader since the 2019 legislative session.

Smith is the Democratic nominee in the 2022 election for governor of South Dakota.

For more information, go to this post.

Wikipedia

The 2022 South Dakota gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, electing the governor of South Dakota. Incumbent Republican governor Kristi Noem defeated Democratic nominee Jamie Smith to win a second term.[1]

Despite speculation about this race potentially being competitive, Noem improved on her 2018 performance by 11 percentage points and won 17 counties that she lost in 2018. She also received over 44,000 more raw votes than she did in 2018, setting a record for the most votes received by a candidate for governor in South Dakota.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Former state house speaker Steven Haugaard challenged Noem in the primary but lost.

Declined

Endorsements

Kristi Noem

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. representatives

State officials

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Steven
Haugaard
Kristi
Noem
Undecided
South Dakota State University[10] May 2–15, 2022 – (LV) ± 3.0% 17% 61% 22%

Results

Results by county
  Noem
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kristi Noem (incumbent) 91,661 76.4
Republican Steven Haugaard 28,315 23.6
Total votes 119,976 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Declined

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominee

  • Tracey Quint, coordinator[21]
    • Running mate: Ashley Strand[22]

Independents

Candidates

Withdrew

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[23] Solid R March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[24] Solid R March 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[25] Safe R January 26, 2022
Politico[26] Likely R October 3, 2022
RCP[27] Likely R September 25, 2022
Fox News[28] Solid R May 12, 2022
538[29] Solid R October 5, 2022
Elections Daily[30] Safe R November 7, 2022

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Kristi
Noem (R)
Jamie
Smith (D)
Other Undecided
Emerson College[31] October 19–21, 2022 1,500 (LV) ± 2.4% 56% 37% 3%[b] 4%
57% 39% 4%[c]
South Dakota State University[32] September 28 – October 10, 2022 565 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 41% 14%

Post-primary endorsements

Kristi Noem (R)

U.S. representatives

Statewide officials

Organizations

Results

2022 South Dakota gubernatorial election[37]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican
217,035 61.98% +11.01%
Democratic 123,148 35.17% −12.43%
Libertarian
  • Tracey Quint
  • Ashley Strand
9,983 2.85% +1.42%
Total votes 350,166 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

By county

County[37] Kristi Noem
Republican
Jamie Smith
Democratic
Tracey Quint
Libertarian
Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Aurora 894 73.64% 284 23.39% 36 2.97% 610 50.25% 1,214
Beadle 3,901 66.84% 1,716 29.40% 219 3.75% 2,185 37.44% 5,836
Bennett 619 60.39% 368 35.90% 38 3.71% 251 24.49% 1,025
Bon Homme 1,858 72.52% 650 25.37% 54 2.11% 1,208 47.15% 2,562
Brookings 6,974 56.12% 5,096 41.01% 357 2.87% 1,878 15.11% 12,427
Brown 8,456 60.56% 5,167 37.00% 341 2.44% 3,289 23.55% 13,964
Brule 1,463 69.37% 589 27.93% 57 2.70% 874 41.44% 2,109
Buffalo 144 36.27% 234 58.94% 19 4.79% -90 -22.67% 397
Butte 3,211 76.71% 823 19.66% 152 3.63% 2,388 57.05% 4,186
Campbell 561 84.11% 93 13.94% 13 1.95% 468 70.16% 667
Charles Mix 2,187 70.75% 849 27.47% 55 1.78% 1,338 43.29% 3,091
Clark 1,223 76.44% 341 21.31% 36 2.25% 882 55.13% 1,600
Clay 2,054 43.29% 2,581 54.39% 110 2.32% -527 -11.11% 4,745
Codington 7,520 67.87% 3,253 29.36% 307 2.77% 4,267 38.51% 11,080
Corson 522 56.25% 379 40.84% 27 2.91% 143 15.41% 928
Custer 3,633 71.56% 1,293 25.47% 151 2.97% 2,340 46.09% 5,077
Davison 4,887 67.51% 2,179 30.10% 173 2.39% 2,708 37.41% 7,239
Day 1,599 63.43% 876 34.75% 46 1.82% 723 28.68% 2,521
Deuel 1,479 74.28% 458 23.00% 54 2.71% 1,021 51.28% 1,991
Dewey 662 42.06% 862 54.76% 50 3.18% -200 -12.71% 1,574
Douglas 1,272 85.71% 188 12.67% 24 1.62% 1,084 73.05% 1,484
Edmunds 1,321 77.66% 346 20.34% 34 2.00% 975 57.32% 1,701
Fall River 2,679 73.04% 859 23.42% 130 3.54% 1,820 49.62% 3,668
Faulk 771 80.73% 167 17.49% 17 1.78% 604 63.25% 955
Grant 2,328 72.41% 830 25.82% 57 1.77% 1,498 46.59% 3,215
Gregory 1,618 78.77% 393 19.13% 43 2.09% 1,225 59.64% 2,054
Haakon 892 90.37% 82 8.31% 13 1.32% 810 82.07% 987
Hamlin 2,118 77.58% 548 20.07% 64 2.34% 1,570 57.51% 2,730
Hand 1,177 78.36% 290 19.31% 35 2.33% 887 59.05% 1,502
Hanson 1,267 77.63% 336 20.59% 29 1.78% 931 57.05% 1,632
Harding 632 93.35% 33 4.87% 12 1.77% 599 88.48% 677
Hughes 4,571 61.38% 2,652 35.61% 224 3.01% 1,919 25.77% 7,447
Hutchinson 2,507 78.99% 604 19.03% 63 1.98% 1,903 59.96% 3,174
Hyde 460 80.00% 106 18.43% 9 1.57% 354 61.57% 575
Jackson 623 67.79% 280 30.47% 16 1.74% 343 37.32% 919
Jerauld 604 69.75% 238 27.48% 24 2.77% 366 42.26% 866
Jones 395 83.69% 64 13.56% 13 2.75% 331 70.13% 472
Kingsbury 1,792 70.25% 692 27.13% 67 2.63% 1,100 43.12% 2,551
Lake 3,131 63.05% 1,720 34.64% 115 2.32% 1,411 28.41% 4,966
Lawrence 7,749 63.28% 4,041 33.00% 456 3.72% 3,708 30.28% 12,246
Lincoln 16,828 59.76% 10,727 38.09% 606 2.15% 6,101 21.66% 28,161
Lyman 879 66.69% 405 30.73% 34 2.58% 474 35.96% 1,318
Marshall 1,123 59.42% 737 38.99% 30 1.59% 386 20.42% 1,890
McCook 1,851 72.67% 625 24.54% 71 2.79% 1,226 48.14% 2,547
McPherson 911 82.82% 167 15.18% 22 2.00% 744 67.64% 1,100
Meade 8,482 71.46% 2,887 24.32% 501 4.22% 5,595 47.14% 11,870
Mellette 386 61.27% 214 33.97% 30 4.76% 172 27.30% 630
Miner 732 72.69% 248 24.63% 27 2.68% 484 48.06% 1,007
Minnehaha 39,234 52.53% 33,376 44.69% 2,072 2.77% 5,858 7.84% 74,682
Moody 1,668 62.97% 910 34.35% 71 2.68% 758 28.61% 2,649
Oglala Lakota 221 8.91% 2,172 87.58% 87 3.51% -1,951 -78.67% 2,480
Pennington 27,586 60.78% 16,215 35.73% 1,587 3.50% 11,371 25.05% 45,388
Perkins 1,142 83.24% 177 12.90% 53 3.86% 965 70.34% 1,372
Potter 892 81.16% 187 17.02% 20 1.82% 705 64.15% 1,099
Roberts 2,164 60.70% 1,315 36.89% 86 2.41% 849 23.81% 3,565
Sanborn 757 75.40% 226 22.51% 21 2.09% 531 52.89% 1,004
Spink 1,832 68.61% 765 28.65% 73 2.73% 1,067 39.96% 2,670
Stanley 999 69.04% 407 28.13% 41 2.83% 592 40.91% 1,447
Sully 597 75.76% 169 21.45% 22 2.79% 428 54.31% 788
Todd 402 20.87% 1,444 74.97% 80 4.15% -1,042 -54.10% 1,926
Tripp 1,873 82.58% 364 16.05% 31 1.37% 1,509 66.53% 2,268
Turner 2,834 73.32% 919 23.78% 112 2.90% 1,915 49.55% 3,865
Union 4,723 70.07% 1,848 27.42% 169 2.51% 2,875 42.66% 6,740
Walworth 1,573 76.62% 430 20.94% 50 2.44% 1,143 55.67% 2,053
Yankton 5,247 58.89% 3,350 37.60% 313 3.51% 1,897 21.29% 8,910
Ziebach 345 50.51% 304 44.51% 34 4.98% 41 6.00% 683
Totals 217,035 61.98% 123,148 35.17% 9,983 2.85% 93,887 26.81% 350,166

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Quint (L) with 3%
  3. ^ Quint (L) with 4%

References

  1. ^ Mueller, Julia (November 8, 2022). "Noem wins reelection in South Dakota governor's race". The Hill. Retrieved November 8, 2022.
  2. ^ Todd, Annie (November 12, 2021). "South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem announces re-election campaign for 2022 election". Argus Leader. Retrieved November 12, 2021.
  3. ^ Ellis, Jonathan (May 24, 2022) [May 23, 2022]. "Gov. Kristi Noem's reelection campaign says it has raised $15 million". Argus Leader. Retrieved August 5, 2022.
  4. ^ King, Ryan (November 17, 2021). "Gov. Kristi Noem gets primary challenge from the Right in former state speaker". Washington Examiner. Retrieved November 18, 2021.
  5. ^ a b "Former state Rep. Lora Hubbel running for governor again".
  6. ^ Lawrence, Tom (February 15, 2021). "Can Noem be defeated in 2022? History says not a chance ... but her actions as governor could change things". The South Dakota Standard. Retrieved February 15, 2021.
  7. ^ Sneve, Joe. "South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem gets endorsement from Donald Trump". www.argusleader.com. Argus Leader. Retrieved February 9, 2022.
  8. ^ "Governor Kristi Noem and Congressman Dusty Johnson hitting door-to-door this weekend". dakotawarcollege.com. June 4, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
  9. ^ "Former political rivals Noem & Jackley endorse each other for upcoming elections". www.dakotanewsnow.com. February 17, 2022. Retrieved February 24, 2022.
  10. ^ South Dakota State University[dead link]
  11. ^ "2022 Primary Election Official State Canvass Results" (PDF). Secretary of State of South Dakota. June 14, 2022. Retrieved August 4, 2022.
  12. ^ Sneve, Joe. "Democrat Jamie Smith to run for governor in 2022 election". www.argusleader.com. Argus Leader. Retrieved February 2, 2022.
  13. ^ Sneve, Joe (July 7, 2022). "Jamie Smith taps Aberdeen-area lawmaker as running mate on Democratic ticket for governor". Argus Leader. Retrieved August 4, 2022.
  14. ^ a b c d Sneve, Joe (June 9, 2021). "Analysis: Who will challenge Gov. Kristi Noem in South Dakota's 2022 election? Here are potential candidates". Argus Leader. Retrieved June 20, 2021.
  15. ^ a b Vondracek, Christopher (June 9, 2021). "A party waits for Billie Sutton: South Dakota Democrats mull if former legislator will force a '22 rematch with Gov. Noem". www.thedickinsonpress.com. The Dickinson Press. Retrieved November 26, 2021.
  16. ^ Mercer, Bob (June 18, 2018). "Democrats favor Seiler over Means". Capitol Journal. Retrieved January 11, 2021.
  17. ^ "South Dakota Minority Leader Heinert passes on run for Governor, joining private sector after term". December 16, 2021.
  18. ^ a b Lawrence, Tom (November 29, 2020). "Is it just a South Dakota political legend or eerie fate: Will Sen. John Thune end the 'Curse of Karl' in 2022?". The South Dakota Standard. Archived from the original on January 8, 2022. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  19. ^ Lawrence, Tom (January 29, 2022). "Democrats set to announce gubernatorial candidate". Black Hills Pioneer. Retrieved January 29, 2022.
  20. ^ Woster, Kevin (February 23, 2022). "Sutton's political time will come again, but not just yet". South Dakota Public Broadcasting. Retrieved March 5, 2022.
  21. ^ "Libertarian House candidate, Sturgis rancher Collin Duprel: I am running to give South Dakota voters a choice". Archived from the original on July 23, 2022. Retrieved July 23, 2022.
  22. ^ a b "2022 General Election". South Dakota Secretary of State. Retrieved March 18, 2022.
  23. ^ "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
  24. ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
  25. ^ "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  26. ^ "South Dakota Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  27. ^ "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
  28. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  29. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Archived from the original on June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  30. ^ Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 28, 2022.
  31. ^ Emerson College
  32. ^ South Dakota State University
  33. ^ "Glenn Youngkin, Tulsi Gabbard to campaign for South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem". October 28, 2022.
  34. ^ "Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin to stump for Gov. Kristi Noem's reelection campaign in Sioux Falls".
  35. ^ "South Dakota Grades & Endorsements". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022. Retrieved February 15, 2023.
  36. ^ a b "Kristi Noem's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
  37. ^ a b Barnett, Steve (November 15, 2022). "2022 General Election Official State Canvass Results" (PDF). Secretary of State of South Dakota. Archived (PDF) from the original on September 16, 2025. Retrieved January 4, 2026.

Official campaign websites

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