2022 SD Governor Race2

2022 SD Governor Race

Summary

The 2022 South Dakota gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of South Dakota. Incumbent Republican Governor Kristi Noem is running for a second term.

Governor Kristi Noem was elected in 2018 with 51% of the vote, and is running for re-election to a second term. The Democratic nominee is state representative Jamie Smith.

Source: Wikipedia

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About

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[16]Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections[17]Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Sabato’s Crystal Ball[18]Safe RJanuary 26, 2022
Politico[19]Solid RApril 1, 2022
RCP[20]Safe RJanuary 10, 2022
Fox News[21]Solid RMay 12, 2022
538[22]Solid RJune 30, 2022

Web Links

Kristi Noem

Kristi Noem

Current Position: Governor since 2019
Affiliation: Republican
Candidate: 2022 Governor
Former Position(s): US Representative from 2011 – 2019; State Delegate from 2007 – 2011

Featured Quote: 
There’s no place in America like South Dakota. We’d love to have you join us. Come grow your company; live your life; achieve your dreams. We can make it happen for you right now, because South Dakota Means Business.

For more information, go to this post.

Jamie Smith

Jamie Smith

Current Position: State Delegate for District 15
Affiliation: Democrat
Candidate: 2022 Governor

Jamie Smith is an American politician who serves as a member of the South Dakota House of Representatives. Smith represents District 15, which covers downtown neighborhoods, including areas around Terrace Park and the Great Plains Zoo in Sioux Falls, South Dakota. He has served as House Minority Leader since the 2019 legislative session.

Smith is the Democratic nominee in the 2022 election for governor of South Dakota.

For more information, go to this post.

Wikipedia

The 2022 South Dakota gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, electing the governor of South Dakota. Incumbent Republican governor Kristi Noem defeated Democratic nominee Jamie Smith to win a second term.[1]

Despite speculation about this race potentially being competitive, Noem improved on her 2018 performance by 11 percentage points and flipped 17 counties that had been won by Billie Sutton. She also received over 44,000 more raw votes than she did in the previous election, setting a record for the most votes received by a candidate for governor in South Dakota.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Former state house speaker Steven Haugaard challenged Noem in the primary but lost.

Declined

Endorsements

Kristi Noem

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. representatives

State officials

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Steven
Haugaard
Kristi
Noem
Undecided
South Dakota State University[10]May 2–15, 2022– (LV)± 3.0%17%61%22%

Results

Results by county
  Noem
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results[11]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanKristi Noem (incumbent) 91,661 76.4
RepublicanSteven Haugaard28,31523.6
Total votes119,976 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Declined

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominee

  • Tracey Quint, coordinator[21]
    • Running mate: Ashley Strand[22]

Independents

Candidates

Withdrew

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[23]Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections[24]Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[25]Safe RJanuary 26, 2022
Politico[26]Likely ROctober 3, 2022
RCP[27]Likely RSeptember 25, 2022
Fox News[28]Solid RMay 12, 2022
538[29]Solid ROctober 5, 2022
Elections Daily[30]Safe RNovember 7, 2022

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Kristi
Noem (R)
Jamie
Smith (D)
OtherUndecided
Emerson College[31]October 19–21, 20221,500 (LV)± 2.4%56%37%3%[b]4%
57%39%4%[c]
South Dakota State University[32]September 28 – October 10, 2022565 (RV)± 4.0%45%41%14%

Post-primary endorsements

Kristi Noem (R)

Results

2022 South Dakota gubernatorial election[37]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican
217,035 61.98% +11.01%
Democratic123,14835.17%−12.43%
Libertarian
  • Tracey Quint
  • Ashley Strand
9,9832.85%+1.42%
Total votes350,166 100.00% N/A
Turnout350,16659.40%
Registered electors597,073
Republican hold

By county

County[37]Kristi Noem
Republican
Jamie Smith
Democratic
Tracey Quint
Libertarian
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Aurora89473.64%28423.39%362.97%61050.25%1,214
Beadle3,90166.84%1,71629.40%2193.75%2,18537.44%5,836
Bennett61960.39%36835.90%383.71%25124.49%1,025
Bon Homme1,85872.52%65025.37%542.11%1,20847.15%2,562
Brookings6,97456.12%5,09641.01%3572.87%1,87815.11%12,427
Brown8,45660.56%5,16737.00%3412.44%3,28923.55%13,964
Brule1,46369.37%58927.93%572.70%87441.44%2,109
Buffalo14436.27%23458.94%194.79%-90-22.67%397
Butte3,21176.71%82319.66%1523.63%2,38857.05%4,186
Campbell56184.11%9313.94%131.95%46870.16%667
Charles Mix2,18770.75%84927.47%551.78%1,33843.29%3,091
Clark1,22376.44%34121.31%362.25%88255.13%1,600
Clay2,05443.29%2,58154.39%1102.32%-527-11.11%4,745
Codington7,52067.87%3,25329.36%3072.77%4,26738.51%11,080
Corson52256.25%37940.84%272.91%14315.41%928
Custer3,63371.56%1,29325.47%1512.97%2,34046.09%5,077
Davison4,88767.51%2,17930.10%1732.39%2,70837.41%7,239
Day1,59963.43%87634.75%461.82%72328.68%2,521
Deuel1,47974.28%45823.00%542.71%1,02151.28%1,991
Dewey66242.06%86254.76%503.18%-200-12.71%1,574
Douglas1,27285.71%18812.67%241.62%1,08473.05%1,484
Edmunds1,32177.66%34620.34%342.00%97557.32%1,701
Fall River2,67973.04%85923.42%1303.54%1,82049.62%3,668
Faulk77180.73%16717.49%171.78%60463.25%955
Grant2,32872.41%83025.82%571.77%1,49846.59%3,215
Gregory1,61878.77%39319.13%432.09%1,22559.64%2,054
Haakon89290.37%828.31%131.32%81082.07%987
Hamlin2,11877.58%54820.07%642.34%1,57057.51%2,730
Hand1,17778.36%29019.31%352.33%88759.05%1,502
Hanson1,26777.63%33620.59%291.78%93157.05%1,632
Harding63293.35%334.87%121.77%59988.48%677
Hughes4,57161.38%2,65235.61%2243.01%1,91925.77%7,447
Hutchinson2,50778.99%60419.03%631.98%1,90359.96%3,174
Hyde46080.00%10618.43%91.57%35461.57%575
Jackson62367.79%28030.47%161.74%34337.32%919
Jerauld60469.75%23827.48%242.77%36642.26%866
Jones39583.69%6413.56%132.75%33170.13%472
Kingsbury1,79270.25%69227.13%672.63%1,10043.12%2,551
Lake3,13163.05%1,72034.64%1152.32%1,41128.41%4,966
Lawrence7,74963.28%4,04133.00%4563.72%3,70830.28%12,246
Lincoln16,82859.76%10,72738.09%6062.15%6,10121.66%28,161
Lyman87966.69%40530.73%342.58%47435.96%1,318
Marshall1,12359.42%73738.99%301.59%38620.42%1,890
McCook1,85172.67%62524.54%712.79%1,22648.14%2,547
McPherson91182.82%16715.18%222.00%74467.64%1,100
Meade8,48271.46%2,88724.32%5014.22%5,59547.14%11,870
Mellette38661.27%21433.97%304.76%17227.30%630
Miner73272.69%24824.63%272.68%48448.06%1,007
Minnehaha39,23452.53%33,37644.69%2,0722.77%5,8587.84%74,682
Moody1,66862.97%91034.35%712.68%75828.61%2,649
Oglala Lakota2218.91%2,17287.58%873.51%-1,951-78.67%2,480
Pennington27,58660.78%16,21535.73%1,5873.50%11,37125.05%45,388
Perkins1,14283.24%17712.90%533.86%96570.34%1,372
Potter89281.16%18717.02%201.82%70564.15%1,099
Roberts2,16460.70%1,31536.89%862.41%84923.81%3,565
Sanborn75775.40%22622.51%212.09%53152.89%1,004
Spink1,83268.61%76528.65%732.73%1,06739.96%2,670
Stanley99969.04%40728.13%412.83%59240.91%1,447
Sully59775.76%16921.45%222.79%42854.31%788
Todd40220.87%1,44474.97%804.15%-1,042-54.10%1,926
Tripp1,87382.58%36416.05%311.37%1,50966.53%2,268
Turner2,83473.32%91923.78%1122.90%1,91549.55%3,865
Union4,72370.07%1,84827.42%1692.51%2,87542.66%6,740
Walworth1,57376.62%43020.94%502.44%1,14355.67%2,053
Yankton5,24758.89%3,35037.60%3133.51%1,89721.29%8,910
Ziebach34550.51%30444.51%344.98%416.00%683
Totals217,03561.98%123,14835.17%9,9832.85%93,88726.81%350,166

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Quint (L) with 3%
  3. ^ Quint (L) with 4%

References

  1. ^ Mueller, Julia (November 8, 2022). "Noem wins reelection in South Dakota governor's race". The Hill. Retrieved November 8, 2022.
  2. ^ Todd, Annie (November 12, 2021). "South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem announces re-election campaign for 2022 election". Argus Leader. Retrieved November 12, 2021.
  3. ^ Ellis, Jonathan (May 24, 2022) [May 23, 2022]. "Gov. Kristi Noem's reelection campaign says it has raised $15 million". Argus Leader. Retrieved August 5, 2022.
  4. ^ King, Ryan (November 17, 2021). "Gov. Kristi Noem gets primary challenge from the Right in former state speaker". Washington Examiner. Retrieved November 18, 2021.
  5. ^ a b "Former state Rep. Lora Hubbel running for governor again".
  6. ^ Lawrence, Tom (February 15, 2021). "Can Noem be defeated in 2022? History says not a chance ... but her actions as governor could change things". The South Dakota Standard. Retrieved February 15, 2021.
  7. ^ Sneve, Joe. "South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem gets endorsement from Donald Trump". www.argusleader.com. Argus Leader. Retrieved February 9, 2022.
  8. ^ "Governor Kristi Noem and Congressman Dusty Johnson hitting door-to-door this weekend". dakotawarcollege.com. June 4, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
  9. ^ "Former political rivals Noem & Jackley endorse each other for upcoming elections". www.dakotanewsnow.com. February 17, 2022. Retrieved February 24, 2022.
  10. ^ South Dakota State University[dead link]
  11. ^ "2022 Primary Election Official State Canvass Results" (PDF). Secretary of State of South Dakota. June 14, 2022. Retrieved August 4, 2022.
  12. ^ Sneve, Joe. "Democrat Jamie Smith to run for governor in 2022 election". www.argusleader.com. Argus Leader. Retrieved February 2, 2022.
  13. ^ Sneve, Joe (July 7, 2022). "Jamie Smith taps Aberdeen-area lawmaker as running mate on Democratic ticket for governor". Argus Leader. Retrieved August 4, 2022.
  14. ^ a b c d Sneve, Joe (June 9, 2021). "Analysis: Who will challenge Gov. Kristi Noem in South Dakota's 2022 election? Here are potential candidates". Argus Leader. Retrieved June 20, 2021.
  15. ^ a b Vondracek, Christopher (June 9, 2021). "A party waits for Billie Sutton: South Dakota Democrats mull if former legislator will force a '22 rematch with Gov. Noem". www.thedickinsonpress.com. The Dickinson Press. Retrieved November 26, 2021.
  16. ^ Mercer, Bob (June 18, 2018). "Democrats favor Seiler over Means". Capitol Journal. Retrieved January 11, 2021.
  17. ^ "South Dakota Minority Leader Heinert passes on run for Governor, joining private sector after term". December 16, 2021.
  18. ^ a b Lawrence, Tom (November 29, 2020). "Is it just a South Dakota political legend or eerie fate: Will Sen. John Thune end the 'Curse of Karl' in 2022?". The South Dakota Standard. Archived from the original on January 8, 2022. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  19. ^ Lawrence, Tom (January 29, 2022). "Democrats set to announce gubernatorial candidate". Black Hills Pioneer. Retrieved January 29, 2022.
  20. ^ Woster, Kevin (February 23, 2022). "Sutton's political time will come again, but not just yet". South Dakota Public Broadcasting. Retrieved March 5, 2022.
  21. ^ "Libertarian House candidate, Sturgis rancher Collin Duprel: I am running to give South Dakota voters a choice". Archived from the original on July 23, 2022. Retrieved July 23, 2022.
  22. ^ a b "2022 General Election". South Dakota Secretary of State. Retrieved March 18, 2022.
  23. ^ "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
  24. ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
  25. ^ "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  26. ^ "South Dakota Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  27. ^ "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
  28. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  29. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Archived from the original on June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  30. ^ Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 28, 2022.
  31. ^ Emerson College
  32. ^ South Dakota State University
  33. ^ "Glenn Youngkin, Tulsi Gabbard to campaign for South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem". October 28, 2022.
  34. ^ "Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin to stump for Gov. Kristi Noem's reelection campaign in Sioux Falls".
  35. ^ "South Dakota Grades & Endorsements". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022. Retrieved February 15, 2023.
  36. ^ a b "Kristi Noem's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
  37. ^ a b Barnett, Steve (November 15, 2022). "2022 General Election Official State Canvass Results" (PDF). Secretary of State of South Dakota. Archived (PDF) from the original on September 16, 2025. Retrieved January 4, 2026.

Official campaign websites

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