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2022 IN Senate Race

2022 IN Senate Race

Summary

The 2022 United States Senate election in Indiana will be held on November 8, 2022 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Indiana.

Incumbent Republican Senator Todd Young announced on March 2, 2021 that he is running for a second term.Young was first elected to the Senate in 2016 with 52.1% of the vote, succeeding retiring U.S. Senator Dan Coats. Thomas McDermott Jr., the mayor of Hammond ran for the Democratic nomination. Both ran unopposed, and won their respective primaries on May 3, 2022.

Source: Wikipedia

OnAir Post: 2022 IN Senate Race

News

2022 Indiana Senate Overview
Cook Political Report, Jessica TaylorMarch 8, 2022

Six years ago, Republican Todd Young defeated former Democratic Senator Evan Bayh in one of the most crucial Senate races on the map for the 2016 cycle. Young has a much easier path to a second term in the solidly red state this time around.

Young, a former Marine and three-term congressman has spent his time in Washington climbing the GOP ranks. He was tapped to lead the National Republican Senatorial Committee for the 2020 cycle — a daunting map that included Republicans defending almost twice the number of seats as Democrats. And while Republicans ultimately lost their Senate majority that cycle, it ended up being a 50-50 tie, and Young’s NRSC helped pull out wins in several states where Democrats were incredibly competitive, such as Maine and Iowa. Ultimately, GOP losses could have been much, much worse. Any threat to Young could have come in the form of a primary, given that he voted to certify the 2020 election results, has criticized more far-right members of the party like Georgia Rep. Marjorie Taylor Green and even voted to confirm 14 of Biden Cabinet picks. Young has not gotten an official endorsement from Trump, but it doesn’t matter — he’s running unopposed for the nomination.

About

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[16] Solid R March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[17] Solid R April 1, 2022
Sabato’s Crystal Ball[18] Safe R March 1, 2022
Politico[19] Solid R April 1, 2022
RCP[20] Safe R February 24, 2022
Fox News[21] Solid R May 12, 2022
538[22] Solid R June 30, 2022

Web Links

Todd Young

Todd Young

Current Position: US Senator since 2017
Affiliation: Republican
Candidate: 2022 US Senator
Former Position(s): US Representative from 2011 – 2017

Other Positions:
Ranking Member, Subcommittee on Near East, South Asia, Central Asia, and Counterterrorism
Ranking Member, Subcommittee on Social Security, Pensions, and Family Policy

Featured Quote: 
We Americans have always been drawn to the frontier. As we face the threat of China, we must decide once again to invest in ourselves and science – the endless frontier. #EndlessFrontierAct

For more information, go to this post.

Thomas McDermott Jr.

Thomas McDermott Jr.

Current Position: Mayor, Hammond since 2004
Affiliation: Democrat
Candidate: 2022 US Senator

Thomas Matthew McDermott Jr. (born March 4, 1969) is an American attorney and politician from the state of Indiana serving as the 20th mayor of Hammond, Indiana. He took office on January 1, 2004, the first elected government office he has held. He is a member of the Democratic Party.

After winning the general election in November 2015 for a fourth term, McDermott became the longest-serving mayor in Hammond’s history. He was elected to a fifth term in 2019.

For more information, go to this post.

Wikipedia

The 2022 United States Senate election in Indiana was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Indiana. Incumbent Senator Todd Young won a second term.[1]

Young announced on March 2, 2021, that he would be running for a second term.[2] He was first elected to the Senate in 2016 with 52.1% of the vote, succeeding retiring fellow Republican Dan Coats. Hammond Mayor Thomas McDermott Jr. ran for the Democratic nomination. Both ran unopposed and won their respective primaries on May 3, 2022. This was the first election since 1986 for Indiana's Class 3 U.S. Senate seat where neither Dan Coats nor Evan Bayh were on the ballot.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Removed from ballot

Results

Republican primary results[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Todd Young (incumbent) 372,738 100.0%
Total votes 372,738 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Removed from ballot

On February 18, 2022, the Indiana Election Commission removed Democratic candidates Haneefah Khaaliq and Valerie McCray, as well as Republican candidate Danny Niederberger, from the primary ballot.[10] On February 4, 2022, McDermott campaign adviser Kevin Smith said the campaign would look closely at whether Khaaliq and McCray met the ballot requirements, and that avoiding a primary challenge could benefit McDermott as he entered this year with about $50,000 in campaign cash.[11] Khaaliq then conducted an investigation[12] and discovered that the individual who filed the challenge against both her and McCray was Scott Yahne, an attorney who was a close friend and ally of McDermott.[13]

As a result of the findings, Khaaliq filed a lawsuit against the Indiana Election Commission[14] and announced her decision to proceed as a write-in candidate in the 2022 general election. Khaaliq was the first African American to run for the U.S. Senate in a general election in Indiana's history.[14]

Declined

Results

Democratic primary results[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Thomas McDermott Jr. 173,466 100.0%
Total votes 173,466 100.0%

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominee

  • James Sceniak, activist and behavior therapist[19]

Eliminated at convention

Write-ins

Candidates

Declared

  • Antonio Xavier Alvarez
  • Thomas Baer
  • Phillip Beachy
  • Haneefah Khaaliq, professor at Indiana University[20]
  • Danny Niederberger
  • David G. Storer

Withdrew/disqualified

  • Ellen Kizik, retail worker[21]

General election

Incumbent Senator Todd Young sought re-election in 2022. In 2016, Young was initially perceived as the underdog when Former Senator Evan Bayh was chosen to replace Representative Baron Hill.[22][23] Bayh, an Indiana political giant, was considered the frontrunner until he faced criticism for many of his post-senatorial activities, allowing Young to gain momentum and secure a decisive victory.[24]

In March 2021, Young announced he would seek a second term.[25]

Young's main opponent in the election was Thomas McDermott Jr., the longtime mayor of Hammond, Indiana.[26] McDermott ran as a moderate, criticizing Young for his ties to the Republican establishment and emphasizing his pro-choice stance in light of the Dobbs v. Jackson Supreme Court decision.[27] Young, on the other hand, focused on issues like inflation and border security, directing most of his attacks at President Joe Biden rather than McDermott.[28][29] While early polls indicated a close race,[30] a poll conducted around Election Day showed Young with a comfortable lead.[31]

On October 16, three weeks before the election, the only debate was held which featured Young, McDermontt, and Libertarian Nominee James Sceniak. The Debate centered on a number of issues, including The Economy, Immigration/Border security, and Climate change, among others. Young, mainly focused on Immigration, while avoiding attacking his opponents, McDermott attacked Young relentlessly throughout the debate, even stating “When Senator Young supports spending, it is good inflation, but when he doesn't support it, that is bad inflation. The chips act is a spending bill. Todd Young helped to add to our nation inflation problem”.[32]

Young went on to win the election easily, outperforming his 2016 performance by 11 points and receiving nearly 59% of the vote to McDermott's 38%.[33]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[34] Solid R March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[35] Solid R April 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[36] Safe R March 1, 2022
Politico[37] Solid R April 1, 2022
RCP[38] Safe R February 24, 2022
Fox News[39] Solid R May 12, 2022
DDHQ[40] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[41] Solid R July 6, 2022
The Economist[42] Safe R September 7, 2022

Endorsements

Thomas McDermott Jr. (D)

U.S. Representatives

State legislators

Labor unions

Organizations

Haneefah Khaaliq (I) (write-in)

Organizations

  • Freethought Equality Fund[60]
  • Indiana Civil Rights Agency

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Todd
Young (R)
Thomas
McDermott Jr. (D)
James
Sceniak (L)
Other Undecided
Civiqs[61] November 4–7, 2022 707 (LV) ± 4.7% 49% 38% 9%[b] 4%
ARW Strategies[62] September 25–26, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 39% 37% 6% 17%
Change Research (D)[63][A] August 20–24, 2022 2,111 (LV) ± 2.6% 45% 42% 13%

Results

County Flips:
2022 United States Senate election in Indiana[64]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Todd Young (incumbent) 1,090,165 58.62% +6.51%
Democratic Thomas McDermott Jr. 704,411 37.87% −4.54%
Libertarian James Sceniak 63,814 3.43% −2.04%
Write-in 1,461 0.08% +0.07%
Total votes 1,859,851 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

By county

County[65] Todd Young
Republican
Thomas McDermott
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Adams 6,914 77.3% 1,841 20.6% 195 2.2% 5,073 56.6% 8,950
Allen 59,128 58.1% 39,913 39.2% 2,656 2.6% 19,215 18.9% 101,697
Bartholomew 13,827 61.4% 7,623 33.9% 1,054 4.7% 6,204 27.5% 22,504
Benton 1,938 78.6% 469 19.0% 60 2.4% 1,469 59.6% 2,467
Blackford 2,500 73.7% 740 21.8% 154 4.5% 1,760 50.9% 3,394
Boone 14,178 57.2% 9,159 36.9% 1,469 5.9% 5,019 20.3% 24,806
Brown 3,796 59.7% 2,113 33.2% 446 7.1% 1,683 26.5% 6,355
Carroll 4,644 75.1% 1,267 20.5% 270 4.4% 3,377 54.6% 6,181
Cass 6,250 72.8% 2,081 24.2% 257 3.0% 4,169 48.6% 8,588
Clark 22,389 61.5% 13,061 35.9% 979 2.6% 9,328 25.6% 36,429
Clay 5,885 77.0% 1,507 19.7% 250 3.3% 4,378 57.3% 7,642
Clinton 5,362 73.5% 1,606 22.0% 325 4.4% 3,756 51.5% 7,293
Crawford 2,360 71.0% 983 26.5% 92 2.5% 1,647 44.5% 3,705
Daviess 5,754 82.4% 1,059 15.2% 174 2.4% 4,695 67.2% 6,987
Dearborn 11,309 79.3% 2,628 18.4% 330 2.3% 8,681 60.9% 14,267
Decatur 6,184 76.8% 1,381 17.2% 485 6.0% 4,803 59.6% 8,050
DeKalb 8,584 73.2% 2,773 23.6% 375 3.2% 5,811 49.6% 11,732
Delaware 17,162 57.1% 11,867 39.5% 1,049 3.4% 5,295 17.6% 30,078
Dubois 9,906 72.2% 3,502 25.5% 307 2.3% 6,404 51.7% 13,715
Elkhart 30,852 69.1% 12,635 28.3% 1,165 2.6% 18,217 40.8% 44,652
Fayette 4,720 76.6% 1,274 20.7% 170 2.7% 3,446 55.9% 6,164
Floyd 15,948 59.3% 10,313 38.3% 651 2.4% 5,635 21.0% 26,912
Fountain 3,891 78.1% 945 19.0% 147 2.9% 2,946 59.1% 4,983
Franklin 5,923 80.4% 1,236 16.8% 208 2.8% 4,687 63.8% 7,367
Fulton 4,224 76.5% 1,162 21.1% 134 2.4% 3,062 55.4% 5,520
Gibson 7,612 76.1% 2,205 22.1% 181 1.8% 5,407 54.0% 9,988
Grant 11,383 72.0% 3,927 24.8% 499 3.2% 7,456 47.2% 15,809
Greene 7,033 74.5% 2,098 22.2% 315 3.3% 4,935 52.3% 9,446
Hamilton 70,412 54.5% 52,873 40.9% 5,941 4.6% 17,539 13.6% 129,226
Hancock 15,455 64.5% 6,685 27.9% 1,805 7.6% 8,770 36.6% 23,945
Harrison 10,150 73.4% 3,315 24.0% 367 2.6% 6,835 49.4% 13,832
Hendricks 28,965 59.6% 16,404 33.8% 3,207 6.6% 12,561 25.8% 48,576
Henry 9,388 69.6% 3,338 24.7% 772 5.7% 6,050 44.9% 13,498
Howard 16,738 67.4% 7,289 29.3% 819 3.3% 9,449 38.1% 24,846
Huntington 8,465 74.9% 2,508 22.1% 334 3.0% 5,957 52.8% 11,307
Jackson 8,612 76.6% 2,219 19.7% 309 3.7% 6,393 56.9% 11,240
Jasper 7,050 76.3% 1,982 21.5% 206 2.3% 5,068 54.8% 9,238
Jay 4,084 75.5% 1,182 21.8% 144 2.7% 2,902 53.7% 5,410
Jefferson 6,503 66.3% 3,059 31.2% 241 2.5% 3,444 35.1% 9,803
Jennings 5,992 75.5% 1,532 19.3% 417 5.3% 4,460 56.2% 7,941
Johnson 29,129 64.9% 13,080 29.1% 2,678 6.0% 16,049 35.8% 44,887
Knox 7,468 73.8% 2,369 23.4% 277 2.8% 5,099 50.4% 10,114
Kosciusko 18,033 78.6% 3,996 17.4% 922 4.0% 14,037 61.2% 22,951
LaGrange 5,223 79.1% 1,229 18.6% 147 2.3% 3,994 60.5% 6,599
Lake 57,426 43.0% 73,866 55.3% 2,401 1.7% -16,440 -12.3% 133,693
LaPorte 17,279 54.1% 13,920 43.6% 763 2.3% 3,359 10.5% 31,962
Lawrence 9,700 75.9% 2,622 20.5% 450 3.6% 7,078 55.4% 12,772
Madison 21,536 60.1% 12,470 34.8% 1,830 5.1% 9,066 25.3% 35,836
Marion 78,138 34.9% 136,473 61.0% 9,095 4.1% -58,335 -26.1% 223,706
Marshall 9,471 74.1% 2,979 23.3% 331 2.6% 6,492 50.8% 12,781
Martin 2,691 77.0% 666 19.1% 138 3.9% 2,025 57.9% 3,495
Miami 6,524 76.6% 1,713 20.1% 282 3.3% 4,811 56.5% 8,519
Monroe 14,286 35.5% 24,777 61.6% 1,173 2.9% -10,491 -26.1% 40,236
Montgomery 7,063 72.4% 2,219 22.8% 471 4.8% 4,844 49.6% 9,753
Morgan 15,004 70.6% 4,366 20.5% 1,895 8.9% 10,638 50.1% 21,265
Newton 3,032 76.1% 837 21.0% 113 2.9% 2,195 55.1% 3,982
Noble 8,696 75.8% 2,425 21.1% 355 3.1% 6,271 54.7% 11,476
Ohio 1,458 75.9% 422 22.0% 41 2.1% 1,036 53.9% 1,921
Orange 4,083 75.9% 1,132 21.0% 167 3.1% 2,951 54.9% 5,382
Owen 4,230 68.5% 1,518 24.6% 425 6.9% 2,712 43.9% 6,173
Parke 3,469 77.4% 873 19.5% 139 3.1% 2,596 57.9% 4,481
Perry 3,838 61.7% 2,233 35.9% 152 2.4% 1,605 25.8% 6,223
Pike 2,771 76.0% 806 22.1% 68 1.9% 1,965 53.9% 3,645
Porter 30,158 52.0% 26,643 46.0% 1,180 2.0% 3,515 6.0% 57,981
Posey 6,316 72.4% 2,224 25.5% 187 2.1% 4,092 46.9% 8,727
Pulaski 2,847 76.2% 784 21.0% 104 2.8% 2,063 55.2% 3,735
Putnam 6,954 70.0% 2,254 22.7% 720 7.3% 4,700 47.3% 9,928
Randolph 5,235 76.0% 1,426 20.7% 225 3.3% 3,809 55.3% 6,886
Ripley 6,608 79.3% 1,475 17.7% 249 3.0% 5,133 61.6% 8,332
Rush 3,586 73.7% 965 19.8% 312 6.5% 2,621 53.9% 4,863
St. Joseph 37,726 52.0% 33,013 46.1% 1,382 1.9% 4,263 5.9% 71,671
Scott 4,782 70.0% 1,864 27.3% 186 2.7% 2,918 42.7% 6,832
Shelby 7,991 69.4% 2,704 23.5% 815 7.1% 5,287 45.9% 11,510
Spencer 5,347 70.4% 2,087 27.5% 164 2.1% 3,260 42.9% 7,598
Starke 4,955 72.1% 1,724 25.1% 191 2.8% 3,231 47.0% 6,870
Steuben 6,921 71.5% 2,479 25.6% 276 2.9% 4,442 45.9% 9,676
Sullivan 4,544 71.9% 1,564 24.8% 210 3.3% 2,980 47.1% 6,318
Switzerland 1,956 74.0% 608 23.0% 79 3.0% 1,348 51.0% 2,643
Tippecanoe 19,616 50.7% 17,984 46.5% 1,058 2.8% 1,632 4.2% 38,658
Tipton 3,822 72.7% 1,148 21.8% 290 5.5% 2,674 50.9% 5,260
Union 1,946 78.3% 472 19.0% 68 2.7% 1,474 69.3% 2,486
Vanderburgh 27,255 57.8% 18,886 40.1% 975 2.1% 8,369 17.7% 47,116
Vermillion 3,386 66.9% 1,541 30.5% 133 2.6% 1,845 36.4% 5,060
Vigo 15,559 57.9% 10,639 39.6% 660 2.5% 4,920 18.3% 26,861
Wabash 7,530 76.4% 2,046 20.8% 279 2.8% 5,484 55.6% 9,855
Warren 2,187 77.7% 544 19.2% 83 2.9% 1,643 58.5% 2,814
Warrick 13,456 66.9% 6,251 31.1% 399 2.0% 7,205 37.8% 20,106
Washington 6,119 76.7% 1,615 20.2% 244 3.1% 4,504 56.5% 7,978
Wayne 10,875 65.6% 5,176 31.2% 539 3.2% 5,699 34.4% 16,590
Wells 7,317 80.0% 1,576 17.2% 253 2.8% 5,741 62.8% 9,146
White 4,972 73.9% 1,601 23.8% 156 2.3% 3,371 50.1% 6,729
Whitley 8,586 74.5% 2,442 21.2% 492 4.3% 6,144 53.3% 11,520
Totals 1,090,390 58.6% 704,480 37.9% 65,284 3.5% 385,910 20.7% 1,860,154

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

State Senate results
State House results

By congressional district

Young won seven of nine congressional districts.[66]

District Young McDermott Jr. Representative
1st 46% 52% Frank J. Mrvan
2nd 65% 32% Rudy Yakym
3rd 67% 30% Jim Banks
4th 63% 31% Jim Baird
5th 59% 37% Victoria Spartz
6th 64% 31% Greg Pence
7th 29% 68% André Carson
8th 68% 30% Larry Bucshon
9th 64% 33% Trey Hollingsworth (117th Congress)
Erin Houchin (118th Congress)

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ "Someone else" with 9%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by McDermott's campaign

References

  1. ^ "2022 US Senate Election Results: Live Map". ABC News. November 8, 2022. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
  2. ^ a b "'I'm running': Todd Young to seek re-election to US Senate". WANE-TV. March 2, 2021. Archived from the original on April 19, 2021. Retrieved March 2, 2021.
  3. ^ Lange, Kaitlin (August 10, 2021). "Sen. Todd Young to vote against infrastructure bill after initially supporting it". The Indianapolis Star. Gannett (published August 9, 2021). Archived from the original on August 22, 2021. Retrieved August 22, 2021.
  4. ^ Lange, Kaitlin (May 12, 2020). "2020 Elections: Here's who is running in Indiana's 5th Congressional District". The Indianapolis Star. Gannett (published October 11, 2019). Archived from the original on January 21, 2021. Retrieved August 22, 2021.
  5. ^ a b c Lange, Kaitlin. "Sen. Young won't face primary challengers after commission removes opponent from ballot". IndyStar. The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved February 19, 2022.
  6. ^ a b "Indiana Election Results - May 3, 2022". Indiana Election Division. May 9, 2022.
  7. ^ a b "Indiana mayor starts challenge to Republican US Sen. Young". Associated Press. Hammond, Ind. August 19, 2021. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 22, 2021.
  8. ^ Burgess, Rob (July 27, 2021). "Democratic senatorial candidate visits Wabash". Chronicle-Tribune. Retrieved August 22, 2021.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  9. ^ Kukulka, Alexandra (July 26, 2021). "Porter County march, rally calls for access to reproductive health care: 'Nobody should be ashamed of their own particular health care decision'". Post-Tribune. Archived from the original on July 26, 2021. Retrieved August 22, 2021.
  10. ^ "Major party candidates for Senate will run unopposed in primary". NPR. February 18, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  11. ^ "3 longshot US Senate hopefuls file for Indiana primary race". Associated Press. February 4, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  12. ^ "Haneefah Khaaliq on her Decision to be a Write-in Candidate in the 2022 U.S. Senate Race". Hoosiers for Haneefah Campaign. September 8, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  13. ^ "Indiana Election Commission Public Session" (PDF). Indiana Election Commission. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  14. ^ a b "Enough is Enough". The Crusader Newspaper Group. September 27, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
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  53. ^ "Our view editorial: Destiny Wells has the character to be secretary of state". The Herald Bulletin. October 31, 2022. Retrieved November 6, 2022.
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  66. ^ https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::c08c9df0-9756-4c5a-a7e7-01ff03bbb170

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