The chaos has arrived

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By Noah SmithFebruary 4, 2025

Welcome to the next four years.

So far, not all of my specific predictions have been borne out — we haven’t yet seen Trump launch attacks on the court system, the electoral system, the Fed, or the U.S. Military. But it has been only two weeks since Trump’s inauguration. Give it time.

But the institutional chaos that Trump has unleashed just in his first two weeks has been considerable. For example, as I predicted in that post, there is a huge purge underway at the FBI:

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