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Are We Already in “the Next War”?

The Long Memo (TLM)

We have an intelligence community that is blind and deaf, run by idiots, lead by a madman. What could go wrong?

I thought Peace was the idea?
Maybe I missed a memo, but I thought the goal was de-escalation. Last time I checked, the Houthis weren’t actively launching missiles at U.S. or international shipping. Yes, there were threats. Yes, there was saber-rattling. But threats aren’t missiles, and talk isn’t an attack.

There are only three reasons to abandon deterrence doctrine and strike first:

  1. A clear, imminent threat – A preemptive strike makes sense if an enemy is about to attack and taking them out first prevents mass casualties.
  2. A political motive – A president desperate for a show of strength to distract from domestic problems.
  3. A strategic shift – A deliberate move to change U.S. doctrine from deterrence to something more aggressive.

Discuss

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