Alabama – US Senate 2020 Election

The 2020 election is a test of whether Doug Jones’s 2017 win was an aberration or a testament to newfound Democratic strength in the South. The fundamentals of the race clearly favor Republicans; Alabama loves Trump, and the president’s net approval rating has been higher there than any other state. Jones is a moderate Democrat who emphasizes his bipartisan record, but also voted to remove the president after impeachment. The GOP is clearly feeling confident now that Moore is no longer an element in the race

What are the odds? Cook Political Report rates this Lean Republican, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rates it Likely Republican.

Vox by Elle Nielsen on June 11, 2020

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Arkansas – US Senate 2020 Election

GOP Sen. Tom Cotton, seeking a second term, is known to have national ambitions. We rate the race for U.S. Senate in Arkansas as Solid Republican.

Politico 11/19/19

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Idaho – US Senate 2020 Election

Two-term incumbent Jim Risch, a Republican is running for a third term. Risch chairs the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and has been an avid supporter of President Donald Trump.

Paulette Jordan won the Democratic primary. The former Idaho lawmaker and 2018 gubernatorial nominee will face incumbent Sen. Jim Risch, who ran unopposed in the Republican primary and will be heavily favored in November in conservative Idaho.

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Kansas – US Senate 2020 Election

Yes, Barbara Bollier would be a slight favorite if Kansas Republicans are reckless enough to nominate Kris Kobach on Aug 4. But it’s now clear that Bollier can compete with any Republican nominee, and might actually win. Money is a key reason why. Bollier, like Democrats in other Senate races around the country, has raised an enormous amount of cash — $3.7 million in the latest reporting period, far more than her potential opponents are expected to take in.

U.S. Rep. Roger Marshall remains the mainstream GOP choice, but he hasn’t lit up the scoreboard, either. He remains largely unknown in this part of the state. His campaign strategy, such as it is, consists largely of attaching himself at the hip to Trump.

Kansas City Star by Dave Helling on July 10, 2020

 

OnAir Post: Kansas – US Senate 2020 Election

Kentucky – US Senate 2020 Election

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell is unpopular back home, but that doesn’t mean voters will turn him out in a state Donald Trump carried by 30 points in 2016. The leading Democratic candidate is Marine veteran Amy McGrath, a failed 2018 congressional candidate who is raising tons of money from donors eager to beat McConnell.

We think the Republican candidate will likely win the U.S. Senate race in Kentucky.

Politico 4/19/2020.

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Louisiana – US Senate 2020 Election

GOP Sen. Bill Cassidy, who ousted Democrat Mary Landrieu six years ago, is running for a second term.

We rate the race for U.S. Senate in Louisiana as Solid Republican.

Politico 4/19/20

OnAir Post: Louisiana – US Senate 2020 Election

Mississippi – US Senate 2020 Election

GOP Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith is facing a rematch from Clinton-era Cabinet member Mike Espy, whom she beat in a 2018 special election by 7 points.

We think the Republican candidate will likely win the U.S. Senate race in Mississippi.

Politico 4/19/20

OnAir Post: Mississippi – US Senate 2020 Election

Nebraska – US Senate 2020 Election

GOP Sen. Ben Sasse, an occasional critic of Donald Trump, has nevertheless been endorsed by the president. Chris Janicek is his challenger.

We rate the race for U.S. Senate in Nebraska as Solid Republican.

Politico 4/19/20

OnAir Post: Nebraska – US Senate 2020 Election

Oklahoma – US Senate 2020 Election

GOP Sen. Jim Inhofe, who chairs the Senate Armed Services Committee, is seeking a fifth term. Abby Broyles, Journalist and attorney, will be running against Inhofe in the November elections.

We rate the race for U.S. Senate in Oklahoma as Solid Republican.

Politico 4/19/20

OnAir Post: Oklahoma – US Senate 2020 Election

South Dakota – US Senate 2020 Election

GOP Sen. Mike Rounds isn’t expected to face strong opposition for a second term.

We rate the race for U.S. Senate in South Dakota as Solid Republican.

Politico 4/19/20

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Tennessee – US Senate 2020 Election

GOP Sen. Lamar Alexander is retiring, and Republicans have mostly coalesced around former Ambassador to Japan Bill Hagerty.

We think the Republican candidate will likely win the U.S. Senate race in Tennessee.
Politico 4/19/20

OnAir Post: Tennessee – US Senate 2020 Election

Texas – US Senate 2020 Election

Two years after GOP Sen. Ted Cruz’s 3-point reelection victory, fellow Republican John Cornyn is taking his campaign for a fourth term seriously. MJ Hagar will be Cornyn’s democratic challenger in November.

We think the race for U.S. Senate in Texas leans toward the Republican candidate.
Politico 4/19/20

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West Virginia – US Senate 2020 Election

If, as expected, GOP Sen. Shelley Moore Capito wins a second term in 2020, she’ll be the first Republican to be reelected to the Senate from West Virginia in the direct-election era.

We rate the race for U.S. Senate in West Virginia as Solid Republican.
Politico  4/19/20

OnAir Post: West Virginia – US Senate 2020 Election

Wyoming – US Senate 2020 Election

Republican Sen. Mike Enzi’s retirement sets up a competitive GOP primary race to replace him, with all eyes on Rep. Liz Cheney as a potential candidate.

We rate the race for U.S. Senate in Wyoming as Solid Republican.
Politico 4/19/20

OnAir Post: Wyoming – US Senate 2020 Election

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