2022 PA Senate Race

2022 PA Senate Race 1

Summary

The 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania will be held on November 8, 2022, concurrently with, elections for the U.S. House of Representatives, as well as a gubernatorial election. This seat is seen by many Democrats as the best possible pick-up opportunity of all the US Senate seats.

The primary was held on May 17, with Lieutenant Governor John Fetterman securing the Democratic nomination.

Meanwhile, in the Republican primary, results were still being tabulated weeks later. Mehmet Oz and David McCormick finished “neck and neck”, separated by a difference of 0.1% or 972 votes. Pennsylvania election law requires an automatic recount if the difference between the top two candidates for a statewide office is 0.5% of the vote or less. On June 3, McCormick conceded the race to Oz, making Oz the first Muslim to be nominated by either major party for U.S. Senate.

Source: Wikipedia

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News

Dr. Mehmet Oz has won the Pennsylvania Republican Senate primary after his opponent, David McCormick conceded the race. He is now set face off against Lt. Gov. John Fetterman, who has yet to return to the campaign trail after suffering a stroke, in the midterm elections. NBC News’ Dasha Burns reports.

About

Source: Wikipedia

The 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania will be held on November 8, 2022, concurrently with elections for all other Class 3 U.S. Senators, elections for the U.S. House of Representatives, as well as a gubernatorial election, to select a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania.

Two-term Republican incumbent Pat Toomey announced on October 5, 2020, that he would not run for re-election to a third term. Due to this development, the election is expected to be competitive and important to determine whether Democrats or Republicans will control the Senate in 2023. This is attributed to the seat being an open Republican-held one located in a state that President Joe Biden won in the 2020 presidential election. This seat is seen by many Democrats as the best possible pick-up opportunity of all the Class 3 Senate seats.

The primary was held on May 17, 2022, with Lieutenant Governor John Fetterman securing the Democratic nomination and Mehmet Oz securing the Republican nomination.

While Fetterman’s nomination was announced soon after the election, in the Republican primary, results were still being tabulated weeks later. Mehmet Oz and David McCormick had finished “neck and neck”, separated by a difference of 0.1% or 972 votes. Pennsylvania election law requires an automatic recount if the difference between the top two candidates for a statewide office is 0.5% of the vote or less. On June 3, McCormick conceded the race to Oz, making Oz the first Muslim to be nominated by either major party for U.S. Senate.

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Videos

Dr. Oz Wins Pennsylvania GOP Primary, Will Face Fetterman In Senate Race

June 6, 2022 (03:55)
By: NBC News

Dr. Mehmet Oz has won the Pennsylvania Republican Senate primary after his opponent, David McCormick conceded the race. He is now set face off against Lt. Gov. John Fetterman, who has yet to return to the campaign trail after suffering a stroke, in the midterm elections. NBC News’ Dasha Burns reports.

John Fetterman Wins Democratic Senate Primary In Pennsylvania, NBC News Projects

May 17, 2022 (02:53)
By: NBC News

John Fetterman

John Fetterman

Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman visits with people attending a Democratic Party event. | Keith Srakocic/AP Photo

Current Position: Lt. Governor since 2019
Affiliation: Democrat
Candidate: 2022 US Senator

John Karl Fetterman (born August 15, 1969) is an American politician who has served as the 34th lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania since 2019. A member of the Democratic Party, he previously served as mayor of Braddock from 2006 to 2019.[1] Fetterman is the Democratic nominee for the 2022 U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania.

Fetterman studied finance at Albright College, where he also played college football, and earned graduate degrees in business administration and public policy from the University of Connecticut and Harvard, respectively. He came to Braddock in 2001 to serve with AmeriCorps, moved to Braddock in 2004, and ran for mayor in 2005, winning by a single vote. As mayor of Braddock, Fetterman worked to revitalize the former steel town by investing in art and youth programs.

Fetterman first ran for Senate in 2016, finishing third in the Democratic primary with 19.4% of the vote. He ran for lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania in 2018, defeating a field of candidates that included incumbent Mike Stack in the Democratic primary and winning the election with incumbent Governor Tom Wolf. During his tenure, Fetterman received national attention for his efforts to legalize cannabis statewide and pushing back on President Donald Trump’s false claims of election fraud in Pennsylvania.

In 2021, Fetterman announced his candidacy in Pennsylvania’s 2022 Senate election. He won the Democratic nomination with 59% of the vote. Generally described as a progressive, Fetterman advocates for universal healthcare, raising the minimum wage to $15 an hour, legalizing marijuana, and implementing a wealth tax.

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Mehmet Oz

Mehmet Oz

Dr. Oz on the Senate campaign trail | CREDIT: RACHEL WISNIEWSKI/BLOOMBERG VIA GETTY IMAGES

Current Position: US Senator
Affiliation: Democrat
Candidate: 2022 US Senator
Former Position(s): President’s Council on Sports, Fitness, and Nutrition from 2018 – 2022

Mehmet Cengiz Öz (Turkish: [mehˈmet dʒeɲˈɟiz øz]; born June 11, 1960), known professionally as Dr. Oz, is a Turkish–American television personality, author, and retired physician, who is the Republican nominee for the 2022 U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania. In 2003, Oprah Winfrey was the first guest on the Discovery Channel series Second Opinion with Dr. Oz, and Oz was a regular guest on The Oprah Winfrey Show, making more than sixty appearances. In 2009, The Dr. Oz Show, a daily television program about medical matters and health, was launched by Winfrey’s Harpo Productions and Sony Pictures Television, and ran for 13 seasons. He is a former cardiothoracic surgeon and a professor emeritus at Columbia, as well as the author of over a dozen books.

Oz has promoted pseudoscience, alternative medicine, faith healing, and paranormal beliefs, which has earned him criticism from physicians, government officials, and medical and popular publications. In 2018, Donald Trump appointed him to the President’s Council on Sports, Fitness, and Nutrition. He was later fired from the position by the Biden administration in 2022, due to his run for public office.

In 2021, Oz declared that he would run in the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania as a Republican to succeed retiring incumbent U.S. Senator Pat Toomey. Oz became the Republican nominee after his main opponent David McCormick conceded during a recount. Oz will face Democratic nominee John Fetterman in November, and if elected, will be the first Muslim to serve in the United States Senate.

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Wikipedia

The 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania.[1] Democratic lieutenant governor John Fetterman won his first term in office, defeating Republican surgeon Mehmet Oz. Fetterman succeeded Republican incumbent senator Pat Toomey, who did not seek re-election after two terms. This was the only U.S. Senate seat to flip parties in 2022.

In the May 17 primary, Fetterman won the Democratic nomination with 59% of the vote.[2] Oz finished with a 0.1% margin ahead of businessman David McCormick in the Republican primary, triggering an automatic recount. McCormick conceded the nomination on June 3,[3] making Oz the first Muslim candidate to be nominated by either major party for U.S. Senate.[4]

The general election was among the most competitive of the 2022 midterms and characterized as highly contentious. Fetterman framed Oz as an elitist carpetbagger with a radical anti-abortion stance in the wake of Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization overturning Roe v. Wade, while Oz framed Fetterman as a socialist insufficiently committed to fighting crime. Fetterman's health was also a major issue due to him suffering a stroke days before his primary victory.[5] Although Fetterman led most pre-election polls, concerns towards his health and a scrutinized debate performance helped Oz take a narrow lead before the election.[6][7][8]

Despite Oz's lead in final polls, Fetterman won by a 5% margin, helping provide Senate Democrats a net gain of one seat and their first outright majority since 2015. With Fetterman's victory, elected Democrats held both U.S. Senate seats from Pennsylvania for the first time since 1947.[a]

Republican primary

Former U.S. Treasury Under Secretary David McCormick narrowly lost the primary, placing second.
Author Kathy Barnette finished third in the primary.
Former U.S. Ambassador to Denmark Carla Sands finished fourth in the primary.
Former Pennsylvania Boxing Commissioner George Bochetto finished seventh in the primary.

Campaign

Early campaign

In October 2020, incumbent Republican senator Pat Toomey decided not to run for re-election, stating that he wished to return to the private sector.[9]

By October 2021, businessman Jeff Bartos, who had posted strong fund-raising totals, and veteran Sean Parnell, who had the endorsement of former president Donald Trump, emerged as the race's front-runners.[10] However, Parnell's campaign faced a large scandal in November 2021, after his ex-wife, Laurie Snell, testified in court during a custody hearing for the couple's children that Parnell had strangled and spat on her, abused their children, and told her to "go get an abortion".[11] Parnell denied the allegations under oath.[12] Even before these allegations were made, doubts had arisen among Republicans regarding Parnell's fundraising ability, and it became widely assumed that he would suspend his campaign if he did not win custody of his children.[12][failed verification] On November 22, 2021, Snell was given custody of the couple's children and Parnell suspended his campaign.[13]

Entry of Oz and McCormick

On November 30, with Parnell out of the race, Mehmet Oz, a celebrity doctor and television personality, announced his candidacy.[14] Oz's campaign entered an immediate controversy over whether Oz himself was a resident of Pennsylvania, as he had lived in Cliffside Park, New Jersey, for most of his life and had only registered to vote in Pennsylvania in October 2020.[14][15] The January 2022 entrance of David McCormick, a businessman, into the race prompted attacks for McCormick's past detraction of Trump and criticism of "America First" economic policies from Oz allies.[16] Super PACs allied to McCormick hit back with a spate of well-funded television advertisements, accusing Oz of being a "Hollywood liberal."[17]

Republican straw polls in January 2022 indicated strong support for Bartos and political commentator Kathy Barnette among party activists as the campaign started to escalate. Bartos won the Republican State Committee Central Caucus's straw poll, placing first with 49 votes, while Barnette finished in second place with 30 votes. McCormick and Sands trailed at third and fourth place; and Oz and former Boxing Commissioner George Bochetto performed poorly, each receiving only one vote.[18][19] Despite this, political commentators largely considered Oz and McCormick to be the frontrunners, with the other candidates trailing them.[20]

The McCormick campaign targeted Oz's ties to Turkey and called on him to renounce his Turkish citizenship, accusing Oz of harboring dual loyalties.[21] Oz later stated that if he were elected to the Senate, he would renounce his Turkish citizenship.[22] Former president Trump endorsed Oz on April 10, citing the popularity of his television show and perceived appeal to female voters.[23] Oz frequently highlighted this endorsement, it becoming one of his major talking points during the campaign.[20]

Late campaign

Oz had been ahead of the other candidates in the polls since the start of his campaign, with McCormick soon rising quickly in the polls to challenge Oz, with both men polling the low 20s. Barnette had also begun to rise in the polls at this point after a string of attention-getting debate performances and an ad spend in support of her by the Club for Growth. Her late surge prompted a change in tactics from the two frontrunners, who had largely ignored her as irrelevant until then.[24] Pro-Oz Super PAC American Leadership Action launched an ad campaign accusing Barnette of supporting Black Lives Matter, while McCormick stated that Barnette was unelectable, citing her heavy loss in a U.S. House race the previous election cycle.[24] Oz himself also accused Barnette of Islamophobia, pointing to a 2015 tweet in which she stated, "Pedophilia is a Cornerstone of Islam."[25]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Disqualified

  • John Debellis, small business owner[37]
  • John Eichenberg, truck driver[38]
  • Robert Jeffries, perennial candidate[39]
  • Ron Johnson, former Fredonia borough councilor[40][41] (ran as the Constitution nominee)
  • Richard Mulholland, HVAC technician[42]
  • Max Richardson[43]
  • Martin Rosenfeld, Elk County deputy sheriff and treasurer of the Elk County Republican Party[44]
  • David Xu, U.S. Army veteran, college professor and IT business owner[45]

Withdrew

Declined

Debates and forums

2022 Pennsylvania Senate election Republican primary debates
No.DateHostModeratorLinkParticipants
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Kathy BarnetteGeorge BochettoJeff BartosSean GaleDavid McCormickMehmet OzCarla SandsEverett Stern
1Feb. 22, 2022BroadandLiberty.com
Pennsylvania Chamber of Business & Industry
Becky CorbinVideoPPPNAAAP
2Apr. 25, 2022Nexstar/WHTM-TVDennis Owens
Lisa Sylvester
VideoPNPNPPPW
3May 4, 2022Newsmax TVGreta Van Susteren
Rick Dayton
PNPNPPPW

Endorsements

Kathy Barnette
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Organizations
Newspapers and other media
Individuals
Jeff Bartos
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State senators
State representatives
Organizations
Individuals
George Bochetto
Robert Jeffries
Individuals
David McCormick
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. Governors
U.S. Representatives
Local officials
Labor unions
Individuals
Mehmet Oz
U.S. Presidents
Executive branch officials
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
Individuals
Carla Sands
Executive branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Sean Parnell (withdrawn)
U.S. Presidents
  • Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021) (switched endorsement to Oz after Parnell withdrew)[95]
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Individuals
Craig Snyder (withdrawn)
Executive branch officials
U.S. Representatives
Declined to endorse

Polling

Graphical summary
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kathy
Barnette
Jeff
Bartos
David
McCormick
Mehmet
Oz
Carla
Sands
Other[b]Margin
Real Clear PoliticsMay 3–16, 2022May 17, 202224.2%5.4%19.6%26.8%6.0%18.0%Oz +2.6
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kathy
Barnette
Jeff
Bartos
David
McCormick
Mehmet
Oz
Sean
Parnell
Carla
Sands
OtherUndecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)May 14–16, 20221,195 (LV)± 2.9%27%7%22%29%7%4%[d]6%
Emerson CollegeMay 14–15, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%24%5%21%28%6%1%[e]15%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)May 12–15, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%27%2%11%28%3%3%[f]26%
Osage Research (R)[A]May 12–13, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.1%24%6%25%24%7%1%[g]13%
InsiderAdvantage (R)May 7–9, 2022750 (LV)± 3.6%21%5%19%23%5%3%[h]26%
The Trafalgar Group (R)May 6–8, 20221,080 (LV)± 3.0%23%7%22%25%7%2%[h]15%
Fox NewsMay 3–7, 20221,001 (LV)± 3.0%19%7%20%22%8%4%[i]18%
Franklin & Marshall CollegeApril 20 – May 1, 2022325 (RV)± 6.9%12%2%16%18%5%6%[j]39%
The Trafalgar Group (R)April 11–13, 20221,074 (LV)± 3.0%18%8%20%23%11%3%[k]17%
Franklin & Marshall CollegeMarch 30 – April 10, 2022317 (RV)± 6.6%7%6%15%16%5%8%[l]43%
Eagle Consulting Group (R)April 7–9, 2022502 (LV)± 4.4%9%6%18%11%9%2%[m]45%
Emerson CollegeApril 3–4, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%10%9%18%17%8%6%[n]33%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[A]March 29 – April 3, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%13%8%22%16%11%1%[g]
Emerson CollegeMarch 26–28, 2022372 (LV)± 5.0%6%5%14%14%6%3%[o]51%
Basswood Research (R)[B]March 19–21, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%11%5%22%25%13%1%[g]23%
Fox NewsMarch 2–6, 2022960 (LV)± 3.0%9%9%24%15%6%3%[p]31%
Franklin & Marshall CollegeFebruary 21–27, 2022178 (LV)± 10.1%6%4%13%10%11%3%53%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[A]~February 23, 2022– (LV)9%5%24%18%11%1%[g]
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[C]February 16–18, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%24%18%31%27%
Osage Research (R)[A]February 13–16, 2022825 (LV)± 4.0%7%6%24%21%11%3%28%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[A]~February 9, 2022– (LV)9%5%17%23%17%1%[g]
The Trafalgar Group (R)February 1–4, 20221,070 (LV)± 3.0%9%7%16%27%15%6%[q]22%
Osage Research (R)[A]January 31 – February 2, 2022– (LV)19%29%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[A]~January 6, 2022– (LV)9%8%13%31%12%
The Trafalgar Group (R)December 13–16, 20211,062 (LV)± 3.0%8%3%19%7%12%[r]51%
Echelon Insights (R)December 1–3, 2021200 (LV)± 6.9%7%4%11%5%10%[s]63%
November 22, 2021Parnell withdraws from the race
Civiqs (D)October 31 – November 5, 2021799 (LV)± 3.5%7%6%31%8%2%[t]54%
Franklin & Marshall CollegeOctober 18–24, 2021184 (RV)± 8.8%3%2%11%2%3%[u]78%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[D]October 11–14, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%7%27%4%5%57%
Franklin & Marshall CollegeAugust 9–15, 2021154 (RV)± 10.9%6%4%14%1%10%[v]66%

Results

Following the first night of results, it became clear that Oz and McCormick were the top two vote-getters in the election; however, the margin between them was too close to declare a victor.[103] A mandatory recount then began.[104][103] Former president Trump encouraged Oz to declare victory on election night, stating that Oz would only be defeated as a result of election fraud; these claims were noted by Politico as echoing Trump's baseless claims of election fraud in the 2020 presidential election.[105] With McCormick having done better with mail-in ballots, Oz opposed counting ballots which were received by election offices before election day but were missing dates on the envelopes.[106] A state court later required counties to count undated ballots as valid.[107]

On June 3, McCormick conceded to Oz, saying he could not make up the deficit in the recount.[108]

Results by county:
  Oz
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  McCormick
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Barnette
  •   30–40%
Republican primary results[104]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMehmet Oz 420,168 31.21%
RepublicanDavid McCormick419,21831.14%
RepublicanKathy Barnette331,90324.66%
RepublicanCarla Sands73,3605.45%
RepublicanJeff Bartos66,6844.95%
RepublicanSean Gale20,2661.51%
RepublicanGeorge Bochetto14,4921.08%
Total votes1,346,091 100.0%

Democratic primary

U.S. Representative Conor Lamb finished second in the primary.
State representative Malcolm Kenyatta finished third in the primary.
Jenkintown borough councilor Alexandra Khalil finished fourth in the primary.

Campaign

The first two major Democratic candidates were Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania John Fetterman and state representative Malcolm Kenyatta.[109] Both Fetterman and Kenyatta were considered to be staunchly progressive Democrats, but the two men were felt to appeal to different demographics.[109] By July 2021, Fetterman was considered the frontrunner as a result of his high name recognition and strong fundraising.[110] U.S. Representative Conor Lamb, a political moderate, entered the race on August 6, 2021.[111][112]

As the campaign progressed, Lamb and Fetterman became the two most prominent candidates, with Kenyatta and Montgomery County Commissioner Val Arkoosh also receiving media attention. Fetterman had maintained his frontrunner status as of December, and the other three contenders were viewed as mainly competing with each other in order to claim the anti-Fetterman mantle.[113] On February 4, 2022, Arkoosh withdrew from the race, her campaign having previously suffered from poor poll results and low support from party activists, leaving Kenyatta as the only major candidate from the Philadelphia region.[114] Both Kenyatta and Lamb were considered to have a good chance at picking up voters who had previously supported Arkoosh, Lamb for ideological reasons and Kenyatta for geographical ones.[114]

In addition to Fetterman, Kenyatta, and Lamb, two minor candidates also made the Democratic primary ballot, namely Kevin Baumlin, a hospital physician, and Alexandra Khalil, a municipal official. Baumlin withdrew from the race on March 31, leaving only Khalil in addition to the three major candidates.[115]

Lamb received the assistance of the “Penn Progress” Super PAC,[116][117] which spent the entirety of its funds in support of Lamb's campaign.[118] Lamb worked closely with the Super PAC, and participated in donor calls it arranged.[119][120] The Penn Progress Super PAC bankrolled TV ads which sought to portray Fetterman as a "self-described democratic socialist." Within a day of airing, PolitiFact and Factcheck.org called the attack ad false,[121] The Philadelphia Inquirer commented that Fetterman had never actually described himself that way,[122] the ABC affiliate in Philadelphia stopped broadcasting the ad,[123] and Senator Elizabeth Warren called on Lamb to disavow it.[124]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Disqualified

  • Kael Dougherty, data operations associate[131]
  • Larry Johnson, attorney[132]
  • Alan Shank, retail worker[133]
  • Walter Sluzynsky, postal worker[134]
  • Lew Tapera, retail worker[135]

Withdrew

Declined

Debates

2022 Pennsylvania Senate election Democratic primary debates
No.DateHostModeratorLinkParticipants
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
John FettermanMalcolm KenyattaConor Lamb
1Apr. 3, 2022Muhlenberg CollegeBecky Corbin
Jenny DeHuff
Ari Mittleman
VideoA[w]PP
2Apr. 21, 2022Nexstar/WHTM-TVDennis Owens
Lisa Sylvester
VideoPPP

Endorsements

Val Arkoosh (withdrawn)
State senators
State representatives
Organizations
John Fetterman
Local officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers and other media
Individuals
Malcolm Kenyatta
U.S. Representatives
State representatives
Local officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Political parties
Individuals
Conor Lamb
U.S. Representatives
State senators
State representatives
Local officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers and other media
Individuals
Declined to endorse
Statewide officials
Organizations

Polling

Graphical summary
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
John
Fetterman
Malcolm
Kenyatta
Conor
Lamb
Other
[b]
Margin
Real Clear PoliticsMarch 26 – May 1, 2022May 5, 202243.0%6.0%12.0%39.0%Fetterman +31.0
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Val
Arkoosh
John
Fetterman
Malcolm
Kenyatta
Conor
Lamb
Sharif
Street
OtherUndecided
Franklin & Marshall CollegeApril 20 – May 1, 2022357 (RV)± 6.6%53%4%14%6%[y]22%
Franklin & Marshall CollegeMarch 30 – April 10, 2022356 (RV)± 6.2%41%4%17%9%[z]26%
GBAO (D)[E]April 5–7, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%44%17%19%4%[aa]15%
Emerson CollegeMarch 26–28, 2022471 (LV)± 4.5%33%8%10%12%[ab]37%
Franklin & Marshall CollegeFebruary 21–27, 2022185 (LV)± 9.9%28%2%15%7%50%
Impact Research (D)[F]Early February 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%3%47%7%17%5%8%13%
February 4, 2022Arkoosh withdraws from the race
Data for Progress (D)[E]January 26–31, 2022730 (LV)± 4.0%4%46%12%16%22%
January 19, 2022Street withdraws from the race
GQR Research (D)[G]December 14–16, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%6%44%20%15%2%12%
GBAO (D)[E]November 16–23, 2021800 (LV)± 3.5%5%42%15%16%21%
Civiqs (D)October 31 – November 5, 2021929 (LV)± 3.2%2%52%5%12%2%6%21%
Franklin & Marshall CollegeOctober 18–24, 2021208 (RV)± 8.2%4%34%5%12%5%3%37%
Franklin & Marshall CollegeAugust 9–15, 2021175 (RV)± 10.2%6%33%5%12%0%3%42%
Data for Progress (D)[E]May 7–14, 2021302 (LV)± 6.0%5%40%9%21%2%8%[ac]14%

Results

Fetterman won the Democratic primary by a landslide, winning all 67 counties in Pennsylvania, with Lamb in second place. Lamb's loss was attributed by Vanity Fair to numerous reasons, such as his not being known to voters in the Delaware Valley region of eastern Pennsylvania, where the majority of Democratic voters were located, while in contrast Fetterman's position as lieutenant governor gave him statewide name recognition. In addition, the far more contested Republican primary had consumed media attention that Lamb might have otherwise used to gain more name recognition.[198] Fetterman was also widely considered to have run an effective populist campaign, with The Atlantic noting that his campaign focused on the issues of "workers, wages and weed".[199]

Results by county
  Fetterman
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Democratic primary results[104]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJohn Fetterman 753,557 58.65%
DemocraticConor Lamb337,49826.27%
DemocraticMalcolm Kenyatta139,39310.85%
DemocraticAlexandria Khalil54,4604.24%
Total votes1,284,908 100.0%

Libertarian convention

Libertarian nominee Erik Gerhardt

The Libertarian Party nominee qualified for the general election ballot on August 1.[200][201]

Candidates

Nominee

  • Erik Gerhardt, carpenter, small business owner, and candidate for president in 2020[202][203]

Withdrew

Green convention

The Green Party nominee qualified for the general election ballot on August 1.[200][201]

Candidates

Nominee

Independents and other parties

Candidates

Qualified for ballot

Declared write-in

Withdrew

General election

Campaign

Fetterman's campaign framed Oz as a wealthy outsider who lived outside of Pennsylvania before 2020, including by airing ads that note his past residency in New Jersey. Fetterman also flew banners and published social media posts described by The Hill and The Washington Post as "trolling" his opponent. In one post, Fetterman started a petition to get Oz inducted to the New Jersey Hall of Fame.[217] In response to the carpetbagging criticisms, Oz said during the primary debate that Pennsylvanians "care much more about what I stand for than where I'm from".[218]

Oz's campaign criticized Fetterman for being inactive since he suffered a stroke in May and made an issue of Fetterman's health.[219][220][221] In September, Oz published his medical records, which prompted Fetterman to state he was medically cleared to serve in the Senate.[222][223][224] Oz's campaign also framed Fetterman as a socialist, highlighting his endorsement of Bernie Sanders in 2016. Fetterman countered that he has differences in policy proposals with Sanders in issues such as fracking.[225][226]

Fetterman's refusal to debate Oz until late October was criticized by Oz's campaign.[227][228] Fetterman attributed the delay in debating to lingering issues from his stroke and his team criticized debate concessions from Oz's team for allegedly mocking Fetterman's stroke recovery.[229][230] A single debate was held on October 25.[229]

Crudités video

On August 15, 2022, an April 2022 campaign video of Oz shopping in a Redner's Warehouse supermarket went viral.[231] In the video, Oz says he is shopping for produce to make crudités and attributes the high prices to Democratic president Joe Biden.

The video was widely ridiculed on social media and was the subject of several news articles. Most observers focused on Oz's usage of the French term "crudités", his choice of items, and several factual errors; Fetterman himself replied saying that Pennsylvanians refer to crudités as "veggie trays".[232][233] Oz's choice of a raw head of broccoli, asparagus, and multiple pounds of carrots, with guacamole and salsa, was criticized as wrong by some.[234] Others expressed confusion at Oz's statement that the $20 cost of the vegetables and dips "doesn't even include the tequila", as tequila is not a traditional accompaniment to crudités and liquor is not sold in grocery stores in Pennsylvania.[232] Many observers noted Oz quoted the wrong price tag for the salsa and falsely suggested the broccoli was $2 per head when it was $2 per pound.[235]

The number of internet searches for crudités dramatically increased in the aftermath of the video's circulation. Oz appearing to confuse the Redner's and Wegmans supermarket chains led to the name "Wegner's" trending on Twitter and a parody Twitter account called "Wegner's Groceries" gaining popularity.[232] The Fetterman campaign sought to capitalize on the video by introducing merchandise referencing it.[236] When asked if the video made him unrelatable to voters, Oz emphasized he helped others throughout his career and would continue to help if elected.[237]

Debate

In the October 25 debate, a special arrangement of transcription monitors was put in place to assist Fetterman with his auditory processing issue. According to the Associated Press, Fetterman "struggled at times to explain his positions and often spoke haltingly", with Fetterman facing issues completing sentences and frequently pausing after questions were asked. Oz was described as being "more at home on the debate stage" and presented himself as a moderate Republican, and did not reference Fetterman's health condition. Independent health experts said that Fetterman was recovering "remarkably well".[238] Fetterman particularly struggled answering a question regarding his previous opposition to fracking by stating he always supported fracking, while Oz answered a question on abortion by saying that the federal government should have no role in states' abortion decisions, instead leaving abortion decisions to "women, doctors, [and] local political leaders".[239][240][241][242]

According to Politico and The Guardian, Fetterman "struggled" during the debate, and some Democrats questioned why he chose to debate at all.[243][244] After the debate, the Fetterman campaign claimed that the closed captioning system provided by Nexstar Media Group gave incorrect and slow captions. Nexstar denied the claims, arguing the captioning "worked as expected" and that the Fetterman team had had the opportunity for two rehearsals with the equipment and opted to only do one.[245]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[246]TossupOctober 4, 2022
Inside Elections[247]TossupAugust 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[248]Lean RNovember 7, 2022
Politico[249]TossupJune 8, 2022
RCP[250]TossupAugust 14, 2022
Fox News[251]TossupOctober 25, 2022
DDHQ[252]TossupOctober 15, 2022
538[253]TossupNovember 7, 2022
The Economist[254]TossupNovember 1, 2022

Debates

2022 United States Senate general election in Pennsylvania debates
No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanDemocratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
Mehmet OzJohn Fetterman
1Oct. 25, 2022Nexstar/WHTM-TVDennis Owens
Lisa Sylvester
YouTubePP

Endorsements

Mehmet Oz (R)
U.S. Presidents
Executive branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State senators
State representatives
Local officials
Party officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers and other media
Individuals
John Fetterman (D)
U.S. Presidents
Executive Branch officials
Statewide officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State senators
State representatives
Local officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Individuals

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Mehmet
Oz (R)
John
Fetterman (D)
Other
[b]
Margin
Real Clear PoliticsOctober 24 – November 3, 2022November 7, 202247.2%46.8%6.0%Oz +0.4%
FiveThirtyEightDecember 3, 2021 – November 7, 2022November 7, 202247.4%46.9%5.7%Oz +0.5%
270towinNovember 3–4, 2022November 4, 202246.8%46.5%6.7%Oz +0.3%
Average47.1%46.7%6.2%Oz +0.4%
Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Mehmet
Oz (R)
John
Fetterman (D)
OtherUndecided
Research Co.November 4–6, 2022450 (LV)± 4.6%46%47%2%[ad]5%
Targoz Market ResearchNovember 2–6, 2022631 (LV)± 3.8%51%46%3%[ae]
InsiderAdvantage (R)November 3, 2022750 (LV)± 3.6%48%46%4%[af]3%
The Trafalgar Group (R)November 1–3, 20221,097 (LV)± 2.9%48%46%3%4%
Remington Research Group (R)November 1–2, 20221,180 (LV)± 2.8%47%44%4%[ag]5%
Marist CollegeOctober 31 – November 2, 20221,152 (RV)± 3.8%44%50%1%[ah]5%
1,021 (LV)± 4.0%45%51%1%[ah]4%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)October 28 – November 1, 2022700 (LV)± 3.7%48%47%2%[ai]4%
Emerson CollegeOctober 28–31, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%48%46%3%[aj]4%
48%47%4%[ak]
Suffolk UniversityOctober 27–30, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%45%47%1%[al]7%
Fox NewsOctober 26–30, 20221,005 (RV)± 3.0%42%45%6%[am]6%
Big Data Poll (R)October 27–28, 20221,005 (LV)± 3.0%48%46%3%2%
co/efficient (R)October 26–28, 20221,716 (LV)± 3.4%48%45%4%[an]2%
Muhlenberg CollegeOctober 24–28, 2022460 (LV)± 6.0%47%47%3%[ao]2%
Wick Insights (R)October 26–27, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.2%48%46%4%[an]3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)October 26, 2022750 (LV)± 3.6%48%45%4%[ap]4%
Siena Research/NYTOctober 24–26, 2022620 (LV)± 4.4%44%49%<1%[aq]6%
YouGov/CBS NewsOctober 21–24, 20221,084 (LV)± 4.1%49%51%1%[ar]
Franklin & Marshall CollegeOctober 14–23, 2022620 (RV)± 5.3%40%45%4%[as]11%
384 (LV)± 6.8%45%49%
Rasmussen Reports (R)October 19–20, 2022972 (LV)± 3.0%43%45%6%[at]6%
Echelon InsightsOctober 18–20, 2022500 (LV)± 4.8%43%46%4%[au]7%
InsiderAdvantage (R)October 19, 2022550 (LV)± 4.2%46%46%3%[av]5%
CNN/SSRSOctober 13–17, 2022901 (RV)± 4.1%41%52%6%[aw]
703 (LV)± 4.6%45%51%3%[ax]
Wick Insights (R)October 8–14, 20221,013 (LV)± 3.1%49%45%3%[ay]3%
Patriot Polling (R)October 10–12, 2022857 (RV)48%46%7%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)October 4–12, 20221,400 (LV)± 4.4%46%48%2%[az]4%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[H]October 8–11, 20221,078 (LV)± 2.9%45%47%4%[ba]4%
Center Street PAC (D)[I]September 29–30, 2022971 (RV)± 3.5%34%50%16%
568 (LV)36%55%9%
Suffolk UniversitySeptember 27–30, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%40%46%3%[bb]11%
Emerson CollegeSeptember 23–26, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%43%45%5%[bc]8%
Fox NewsSeptember 22–26, 20221,008 (RV)± 3.0%41%45%7%[bd]7%
827 (LV)± 3.0%44%48%3%[be]5%
Franklin & Marshall CollegeSeptember 19–25, 2022517 (RV)± 5.6%42%45%13%
InsiderAdvantage (R)September 23–24, 2022550 (LV)± 4.2%42%45%6%[bf]8%
Marist CollegeSeptember 19–22, 20221,242 (RV)± 3.5%41%51%<1%[bg]7%
1,043 (LV)± 3.8%44%51%4%
The Phillips Academy PollSeptember 16–19, 2022759 (RV)± 3.6%45%47%9%
Muhlenberg CollegeSeptember 13–16, 2022420 (LV)± 6.0%44%49%5%[bh]2%
The Trafalgar Group (R)September 13–15, 20221,078 (LV)± 2.9%46%48%4%[bi]2%
YouGov/CBS NewsSeptember 6–12, 20221,194 (RV)± 3.8%47%52%1%
Echelon InsightsAugust 31 – September 7, 2022828 (RV)± 4.1%36%57%7%
RABA ResearchAugust 31 – September 3, 2022679 (LV)± 3.8%40%49%3%[ay]8%
Kurt Jetta (D)[I]August 31 – September 1, 20221,012 (RV)± 3.5%33%51%15%
616 (LV)36%55%9%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)August 22–29, 2022718 (LV)± 3.7%44%49%2%5%
Emerson CollegeAugust 22–23, 20221,034 (LV)± 3.0%44%48%3%5%
Franklin & Marshall CollegeAugust 15–21, 2022522 (RV)± 5.3%36%45%9%[bj]10%
The Trafalgar Group (R)August 15–18, 20221,096 (LV)± 2.9%44%48%4%[bk]5%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)August 7–10, 2022600 (RV)± 4.0%36%52%11%
Kurt Jetta (D)[I]July 29 – August 1, 20221,206 (A)± 2.8%30%47%23%
997 (RV)± 3.1%32%48%20%
516 (LV)± 4.3%38%52%10%
Fox NewsJuly 22–26, 2022908 (RV)± 3.0%36%47%5%[bl]11%
PEM Management Corporation (R)[J]July 22–24, 2022300 (LV)± 5.7%38%44%4%15%
Blueprint Polling (D)July 19–21, 2022712 (LV)± 3.7%40%49%12%
Beacon Research (D)[K]July 5–20, 20221,012 (RV)± 3.1%34%47%1%13%
609 (LV)± 4.0%39%50%2%9%
Global Strategy Group (D)[L]July 14–19, 20221,200 (LV)± 2.9%40%51%9%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)June 12–19, 20221,382 (LV)± 4.4%44%50%6%
Cygnal (R)June 16–17, 2022535 (LV)± 4.2%44%48%8%
Suffolk UniversityJune 10–13, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%37%46%3%[bm]13%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)~May 10, 2022– (LV)33%51%16%
Data for Progress (D)[E]December 3–5, 2021581 (LV)± 4.0%42%44%13%
Hypothetical polling
Jeff Bartos vs. John Fetterman
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Jeff
Bartos (R)
John
Fetterman (D)
Undecided
Garin-Hart-Yang (D)[M]May 10–19, 2021450 (LV)± 4.7%36%45%19%
Data for Progress (D)[E]May 7–14, 2021310 (LV)± 5.6%38%48%14%
Jeff Bartos vs. Conor Lamb
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Jeff
Bartos (R)
Conor
Lamb (D)
Undecided
Data for Progress (D)[E]May 7–14, 2021341 (LV)± 5.3%42%43%15%
Sean Parnell vs. John Fetterman
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Sean
Parnell (R)
John
Fetterman (D)
Undecided
Garin-Hart-Yang (D)[M]May 10–19, 2021450 (LV)± 4.7%42%42%16%
Data for Progress (D)[E]May 7–14, 2021310 (LV)± 5.6%40%48%12%
Sean Parnell vs. Conor Lamb
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Sean
Parnell (R)
Conor
Lamb (D)
Undecided
Data for Progress (D)[E]May 7–14, 2021341 (LV)± 5.3%44%42%14%

Results

Fetterman won the election by 4.9 percentage points, and was declared the winner in the early hours of November 9. The early victory came as a shock to many pundits, as the race was expected to take several days to project a winner;[373] the race was one of the first signs of the coming Democratic overperformance relative to the final polls in the midterms writ large.[citation needed] Oz underperformed former Republican president Donald Trump's performance in the 2020 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania by 3.7 percentage points, while overperforming Republican nominee Doug Mastriano in the concurrent gubernatorial race by 10 percentage points. As a result of this election, Democrats would be elected to both U.S. Senate seats from Pennsylvania for the first time since 1947, and from this seat since 1962.[bn] According to Ron Brownstein of CNN in 2023, Fetterman won independent voters by double-digit margins, which contributed to Oz's defeat.[374]

2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania[375]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticJohn Fetterman 2,751,012 51.25% +3.91%
RepublicanMehmet Oz2,487,26046.33%−2.44%
LibertarianErik Gerhardt72,8871.36%−2.53%
GreenRichard L. Weiss30,4340.57%N/A
KeystoneDan Wassmer26,4280.49%N/A
Total votes5,368,021 100.0% N/A
Democratic gain from Republican

By county

By county
County[376]John Fetterman
Democratic
Mehmet Oz
Republican
Erik Gerhardt
Libertarian
Richard Weiss
Green
Dan Wassmer
Keystone
MarginTotal
votes
#%#%#%#%#%#%
Adams16,09634.6829,03962.567041.522890.622910.63-12,943-27.8846,419
Allegheny363,87363.42200,63234.975,1900.902,3430.411,6710.29163,24128.45573,709
Armstrong8,06528.3819,57568.894651.641310.461770.62-11,510-40.5128,413
Beaver32,69244.5138,77252.791,1431.564100.564260.58-6,080-8.2873,443
Bedford3,79617.0717,95480.722611.171010.451290.58-14,158-63.6622,241
Berks71,34946.0878,01950.393,3152.141,1490.749920.64-6,670-4.31154,824
Blair14,76329.4034,21468.136271.252950.593210.64-19,451-38.7350,220
Bradford6,63228.2416,03368.284501.921620.692040.87-9,401-40.0423,481
Bucks164,53652.35141,34044.974,6331.472,1450.681,6570.5323,1967.38314,311
Butler33,92136.3457,16861.251,3461.444140.444860.52-23,247-24.9193,335
Cambria18,84933.4535,84763.628681.543650.654190.74-16,998-30.1756,348
Cameron54729.001,24766.12462.44191.01271.43-700-37.121,886
Carbon9,68236.9115,65959.695592.131600.611720.66-5,977-22.7826,232
Centre32,59752.5227,90244.968341.343720.603560.574,6957.5662,061
Chester147,55957.20104,02040.323,5861.391,5790.611,2190.4743,53916.88257,963
Clarion4,32728.1510,62069.092381.55910.59950.62-6,293-40.9415,371
Clearfield8,53327.1821,94869.904891.561930.612360.75-13,415-42.7231,399
Clinton4,75033.898,79162.722191.56960.681611.15-4,041-28.8314,017
Columbia9,02336.4614,83059.935182.091760.711980.80-5,807-23.4724,745
Crawford11,08133.5520,99263.555751.741870.571980.60-9,911-30.0033,033
Cumberland53,27845.9659,66351.471,7831.545890.516140.53-6,385-5.51115,927
Dauphin61,59953.8250,14143.811,5031.315930.526100.5311,45810.01114,446
Delaware157,59962.8787,32234.843,4541.381,4830.598090.3270,27728.04250,667
Elk4,06629.869,12867.022251.65850.621150.84-5,062-37.1713,619
Erie56,40453.3546,50743.981,5541.477020.665670.549,8979.36105,734
Fayette17,73137.8728,23460.304380.941960.422250.48-10,503-22.4346,824
Forest69431.811,43465.72271.24170.78100.46-740-33.912,182
Franklin18,71828.7044,81968.728451.304200.644180.64-26,101-40.0265,220
Fulton95315.265,17182.79741.18180.29300.48-4,218-67.536,246
Greene4,39433.578,34863.771601.221050.80840.64-3,954-30.2013,091
Huntingdon4,66525.5413,03571.372861.571350.741430.78-8,370-45.8318,264
Indiana11,21834.2520,76963.413981.221790.551910.58-9,551-29.1632,755
Jefferson4,13523.2513,13973.872931.65980.551210.68-9,004-50.6217,786
Juniata2,11121.707,26574.681761.81550.571211.24-5,154-52.989,728
Lackawanna50,48956.7736,53441.081,0201.154410.504590.5213,95515.6988,943
Lancaster94,63242.14124,79855.583,2721.461,1470.516990.31-30,166-13.43224,548
Lawrence13,75838.0021,53159.475111.411890.522170.60-7,773-21.4736,206
Lebanon19,69534.8635,02362.001,1071.963180.563480.62-15,328-27.1356,491
Lehigh73,09653.6359,21943.452,2691.669580.707590.5613,87710.18136,301
Luzerne51,50444.2861,97853.281,6621.436630.575160.44-10,474-9.00116,323
Lycoming13,57329.3631,17167.428821.913050.663020.65-17,598-38.0646,233
McKean4,13528.2210,07668.772141.46950.651310.89-5,941-40.5514,651
Mercer17,08037.6627,04959.646731.482790.622710.60-9,969-21.9845,352
Mifflin3,96523.6212,26373.062781.661140.681650.98-8,298-49.4416,785
Monroe30,25151.5126,74645.549891.684500.772940.503,5055.9758,730
Montgomery260,20763.01143,07734.655,4161.312,5020.611,7520.42117,13028.36412,954
Montour3,21341.024,32855.251541.97570.73811.03-1,115-14.237,833
Northampton66,56551.2159,86046.051,9491.509190.716940.536,7055.16129,987
Northumberland10,81232.8720,99263.825831.772410.732670.81-10,180-30.9532,895
Perry5,64627.9113,95668.983921.941110.551260.62-8,310-41.0820,231
Philadelphia412,84182.7178,40815.713,7180.742,5320.511,6520.33334,43367.00499,151
Pike9,82138.9814,79258.712931.161480.591420.56-4,971-19.7325,196
Potter1,41519.915,48677.181201.69400.56470.66-4,071-57.277,108
Schuylkill17,95432.4035,29363.691,2142.194570.824950.89-17,339-31.2955,413
Snyder4,22027.5210,65769.492391.56890.581310.85-6,437-41.9715,336
Somerset7,66023.5523,96473.675231.611900.581910.59-16,304-50.1232,528
Sullivan86928.812,02367.08652.16311.03280.93-1,154-38.263,016
Susquehanna5,24530.3011,52066.552691.551280.741490.86-6,275-36.2517,311
Tioga4,10324.6711,98872.082811.691360.821240.75-7,885-47.4116,632
Union6,24938.839,40158.412101.301270.791070.66-3,152-19.5816,094
Venango6,77732.5013,40664.293851.851260.601600.77-6,629-31.7920,854
Warren5,42033.6810,17563.232431.511180.731360.85-4,755-29.5516,092
Washington39,68442.2952,33755.771,0831.153220.344100.44-12,653-13.4893,836
Wayne7,66933.7714,42563.513441.511400.621340.59-6,756-29.7522,712
Westmoreland66,24039.4398,23858.472,0571.226780.407960.47-31,998-19.04168,009
Wyoming4,05934.467,33862.302151.83750.64920.78-3,279-27.8411,779
York71,92938.56109,63158.772,9751.599560.511,0600.57-37,702-20.21186,551
Totals2,751,01251.252,487,26046.3372,8871.3630,4340.5726,4280.49263,7524.915,368,021
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Fetterman won 10 of 17 congressional districts, including one that elected a Republican.[377][378]

DistrictFettermanOzRepresentative
1st52%45%Brian Fitzpatrick
2nd72%26%Brendan Boyle
3rd91%8%Dwight Evans
4th60%38%Madeleine Dean
5th65%32%Mary Gay Scanlon
6th56%41%Chrissy Houlahan
7th51%46%Susan Wild
8th49%48%Matt Cartwright
9th33%63%Dan Meuser
10th48%49%Scott Perry
11th40%58%Lloyd Smucker
12th63%35%Mike Doyle (117th Congress)
Summer Lee (118th Congress)
13th29%68%John Joyce
14th38%60%Guy Reschenthaler
15th33%64%Glenn Thompson
16th42%55%Mike Kelly
17th56%42%Conor Lamb (117th Congress)
Chris Deluzio (118th Congress)

Voter demographics

Voter demographic data for 2022 was collected by CNN. The voter survey is based on exit polls completed by 2,660 voters in person as well as by phone.[379]

2022 United States Senate election voter demographics in Pennsylvania (CNN)[379]
Demographic subgroupFettermanOz% of
total vote
Ideology
Liberals92625
Moderates643441
Conservatives99134
Party
Democrats94537
Republicans109040
Independents583824
Gender
Men445450
Women574150
Marital status
Married475364
Unmarried603736
Gender by marital status
Married men425736
Married women524828
Unmarried men524314
Unmarried women653421
Race/ethnicity
White455382
Black9188
Latino68308
White voters by gender
White men395941
White women514840
Age
18–24 years old72257
25–29 years old68315
30–39 years old603713
40–49 years old504911
50–64 years old455429
65 and older465334
2020 presidential vote
Biden93648
Trump89245
First time midterm election voter
Yes623412
No495088
Education
Never attended college366324
Some college education564121
Associate degree484914
Bachelor's degree524723
Advanced degree663218
Education by race
White college graduates564335
White no college degree386047
Non-white college graduates74256
Non-white no college degree792012
Education by gender/race
White women with college degrees623717
White women without college degrees445524
White men with college degrees504918
White men without college degrees326623
Non-white772218
Issue regarded as most important
Crime514911
Abortion782137
Inflation277228
Feelings about Roe v. Wade being overturned
Enthusiastic/satisfied108938
Dissatisfied/angry791959
Abortion should be
Legal762262
Illegal108834

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Democrats held both of Pennsylvania's Senate seats from 2009 to 2011 when Arlen Specter, who was elected as a Republican, switched to the Democratic Party.
  2. ^ a b c Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ Bochetto and Gale with 2%
  5. ^ Bochetto with 1%, Gale with 0%
  6. ^ Bochetto, Gale, and "Other" with 1%
  7. ^ a b c d e Bochetto with 1%
  8. ^ a b Bochetto and Gale with 1%
  9. ^ Gale with 2%, Bochetto and "Other" (volunteered response) with 1%
  10. ^ "Someone else" with 5%, Gale with 1%, Bochetto with 0%
  11. ^ Bochetto with 3%, Gale with 1%
  12. ^ "Someone else" with 6%, Bochetto with 2%, Gale with 0%
  13. ^ Bochetto and Gale with ≤1%
  14. ^ Bochetto with 4%, Gale with 3%
  15. ^ Bochetto with 2%, Gale with 1%
  16. ^ Bochetto, Stern, and "Other" (volunteered response) with 1%
  17. ^ Bochetto, Gale, and Stern with 2%
  18. ^ "Another Candidate" with 11%, Gale with 1%
  19. ^ Gale with 4%; Jeffries with 2%; Xu with 1%; Stern with 0%
  20. ^ Gale with 2%
  21. ^ "Someone else" with 3%, Gale with 0%
  22. ^ "Someone else" with 7%, Gale with 3%
  23. ^ Fetterman was invited to the debate, but declined to attend
  24. ^ Conor Lamb received the most delegate votes of 169, but failed to reach the self-imposed threshold of a two-thirds majority vote, meaning that no candidate received the endorsement of the Pennsylvania Democratic Party.
  25. ^ "Someone else" with 4%; Baumlin and Khalil with 1%
  26. ^ "Someone else" with 9%; Baumlin and Khalil with 0%
  27. ^ Khalil with 4%
  28. ^ Baumlin with 9%; Khalil with 3%
  29. ^ Houlahan with 8%
  30. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  31. ^ Gerhardt (L) with 2%; "All others" with 1%
  32. ^ Gerhardt (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 2%
  33. ^ Gerhardt (L) with 2%; Weiss (G) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  34. ^ a b "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  35. ^ "Other" with 1%; "Refuse" with 1%
  36. ^ Gerhardt (L) with 2%, Weiss (G) with 1%; Wassmer (K) with <1%; "Someone else" with <1%
  37. ^ Gerhardt (L) with 2%, Weiss (G) with 1%; Wassmer (K) with <1%; "Someone else" with 2%
  38. ^ Gerhardt (L) with 1%; Wassmer (K) with <1%; Weiss (G) with <1%
  39. ^ Stern (I, WI) with 4%; "Other" with 1%; "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
  40. ^ a b "Someone else" with 4%
  41. ^ "Neither/Other" with 3%
  42. ^ Gerhardt (L) with 3%, "Someone else" with 1%
  43. ^ Gerhardt (L) with <1%; Weiss (G) with <1%
  44. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  45. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%; "Not going to vote" with 1%; Gerhardt (L) with 1%
  46. ^ "Some other candidate" with 6%
  47. ^ Gerhardt (L) with 2%; Weiss (G) and Wassmer (K) with 1%
  48. ^ Gerhardt (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  49. ^ "Neither" with 5%; "Other" with 1%
  50. ^ "Neither" with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  51. ^ a b "Someone else" with 3%
  52. ^ "Other" with 2%
  53. ^ Gerhardt (L) with 3%; "Other" with 1%
  54. ^ Gerhardt (L) with 2%; Wassmer (K) with 1%; Weiss (G) with <1%
  55. ^ "Someone else" with 5%
  56. ^ Stern (I, W/I) with 3%, "other" with 1%, and 3% "wouldn't vote,"
  57. ^ Stern (I, W/I) with 2%, "other" with 1%
  58. ^ Gerhardt (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 4%
  59. ^ "Another party's candidate" with <1%
  60. ^ "Neither/Other" with 5%
  61. ^ Gerhardt (L) and "Other" with 4%
  62. ^ "Some other candidate" with 4%; Gerhardt (L) with 3%; Wassmer (K) and Weiss (G) with 1%
  63. ^ Gerhardt (L) and "Other" with 2%
  64. ^ Stern (I, WI) with 3%; "other" (volunteered response) with 2%
  65. ^ Gerhardt (L), Magee (I, W/I), Stern (I, WI), and Weiss (G) with 1%; Johnson (C) and "someone else" with <1%
  66. ^ Democrats briefly held both of Pennsylvania's Senate seats from 2009 to 2011 when Arlen Specter, who was elected as a Republican to this seat, switched to the Democratic Party.
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b c d e f g Poll sponsored by Honor Pennsylvania PAC, which supports McCormick.
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by Oz's campaign.
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by McCormick's campaign.
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by Parnell's campaign.
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h i Poll sponsored by Fetterman's campaign.
  6. ^ Poll sponsored by pro-Lamb super PAC Penn Progress.
  7. ^ Poll sponsored by Kenyatta's campaign.
  8. ^ This poll was sponsored by The Daily Wire
  9. ^ a b c This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes Oz
  10. ^ This poll was conducted for John Bolton Super PAC
  11. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Environmental Voter Project
  12. ^ This poll was sponsored by EDF Action and NRDC Action Fund
  13. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Collective PAC.

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  314. ^ "BREAKING: Barack Obama Endorses John Fetterman for US Senate". October 21, 2022.
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  318. ^ "Senators Bob Casey, Sherrod Brown join John Fetterman in Beaver County pro-union gathering".
  319. ^ "Rally with John Fetterman, Senator Chris Coons, and Congresswoman Mary Gay Scanlon in Delco! · All in PA 2022".
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  323. ^ "Mastriano critics become Mastriano boosters while avoiding the name Mastriano". The Philadelphia Inquirer. August 19, 2022. Retrieved August 22, 2022.
  324. ^ "Supreme Court 'set a torch' to last of its legitimacy with Roe reversal, Elizabeth Warren argues". ABC News. June 26, 2022. Retrieved June 26, 2022.
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  326. ^ Meyer, Katie (June 8, 2022). "Trust fund kid, carpetbagger, radical: Campaigns draw battle lines in Pa. Senate race". WHYY. Retrieved June 8, 2022.
  327. ^ "Scranton Rally with John Fetterman, Sen. Bob Casey, Rep. Matt Cartwright, and Other Special Guests! · John Fetterman for Senate". Archived from the original on September 15, 2022. Retrieved September 15, 2022.
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  329. ^ "Philadelphia Rally with John Fetterman, Rep. Dwight Evans, and other special guests! · John Fetterman for Senate". Archived from the original on September 24, 2022. Retrieved September 24, 2022.
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  331. ^ "Centrist Conor Lamb loses by 30 points despite Joe Manchin's endorsement and millions from Wall St". Salon.com. May 18, 2022. Retrieved May 18, 2022.
  332. ^ "Ocasio-Cortez backs Fetterman, Barnes and Ryan for Senate". June 29, 2022.
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  334. ^ "John Fetterman shares stage with State Rep. Patty Kim in Harrisburg". York Dispatch. November 6, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022. Patty Kim, left, while endorsing Pennsylvania Lt. Governor and Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate John Fetterman
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  336. ^ "'Women are the reason we can win,' John Fetterman says at packed abortion-rights rally in Montco". September 11, 2022.
  337. ^ "After rallying with Trump, Oz is pivoting toward the suburbs that have abandoned the GOP". September 10, 2022.
  338. ^ Yocum, Haylee (November 3, 2022). "Shapiro, Fetterman Hold Campaign Rally at Penn State". StateCollege.com. Retrieved November 7, 2022. Nanes shared with the crowd why he is supporting Shapiro, Davis and Fetterman.
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  341. ^ "Pennsylvania - COMPAC Endorsements". UMWA. Retrieved November 1, 2022.
  342. ^ "BREAKING: U.S. Senate candidate John Fetterman stakes out strong stands on Armenian American and Hellenic American policy priorities". Facebook. October 4, 2022. Retrieved October 11, 2022.
  343. ^ "Meet The Candidates". Archived from the original on December 23, 2022. Retrieved September 20, 2022.
  344. ^ @DemMaj4Israel (May 18, 2022). "DMFI PAC is thrilled to endorse Lt. Gov. @JohnFetterman for U.S. Senate, a proud pro-Israel progressive" (Tweet). Retrieved May 18, 2022 – via Twitter.
  345. ^ @dscc (May 17, 2022). "BREAKING NEWS:@JohnFetterman is Pennsylvania's Democratic nominee for Senate! John rolls up his sleeves and gets things done, and will always put Pennsylvania families first" (Tweet). Retrieved May 18, 2022 – via Twitter.
  346. ^ a b @StopBigMoney (May 26, 2022). "🚨 ENDORSEMENT ALERT 🚨 Sheetz > Wawa; and @StopBigMoney/@LetAmericaVote endorsed @JohnFetterman > whichever MAGA Republican ends up winning the Republican nomination to Senate" (Tweet). Retrieved May 26, 2022 – via Twitter.
  347. ^ "Giffords Endorses Lt. Governor John Fetterman for U.S. Senate". Giffords. June 9, 2022. Retrieved June 2, 2022.
  348. ^ "Human Rights Campaign Endorses John Fetterman for Senate". July 28, 2022.
  349. ^ "Humane Society Legislative Fund Launches New Ad Supporting Dog Rescuer John Fetterman for U.S. Senate". HSLF. Retrieved December 8, 2022.
  350. ^ "Unprecedented Spending by AIPAC, Billionaire SuperPACs Fail in Efforts to Decide Elections in Pennsylvania and Oregon". J Street. May 18, 2022.
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  353. ^ "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses John Fetterman for U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania". prochoiceamerica.org. July 1, 2022. Retrieved July 1, 2022.
  354. ^ "The Revolution Report: 5-21-22". Our Revolution. May 21, 2022. Retrieved June 22, 2022.
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  356. ^ "PA Dems Statement on Ongoing GOP Senate Recount". May 27, 2022. Retrieved June 10, 2022.
  357. ^ Routh, Julian (June 8, 2022). "Planned Parenthood political arm backs John Fetterman in Pa.'s U.S. Senate race as Roe v. Wade ruling looms". Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. Retrieved June 8, 2022.
  358. ^ "2022 House & Senate Endorsements". Archived from the original on July 2, 2022. Retrieved July 2, 2022.
  359. ^ "Congressional Endorsements". Sierra Club Independent Action.
  360. ^ "Fetterman is prepared and able to serve". The Citizens' Voice. October 31, 2022. Retrieved November 4, 2022.
  361. ^ "PA Media Group endorses candidates for top offices in the Nov. 8 elections". The Patriot-News. October 29, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  362. ^ Mueller, Julia (October 16, 2022). "Philadelphia Inquirer endorses Fetterman". The Hill. Retrieved October 16, 2022.
  363. ^ Randolph, Irv (November 1, 2022). "John Fetterman is the best choice for Senate". The Philadelphia Tribune. Retrieved November 2, 2022.
  364. ^ "Vote responsibly: Shapiro for governor, Fetterman for Senate".
  365. ^ Mueller, Julia (November 7, 2022). "Ex-DC officer injured during Jan. 6 riot endorses Fetterman". The Hill. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  366. ^ Delano, Jon (December 21, 2022). "Franco Harris cared about politics because he cared about people". CBS Pittsburgh. Retrieved December 27, 2022.
  367. ^ CBS News (December 21, 2022). "Franco Harris, Legendary Steelers Running Back, Dead at 72". Entertainment Tonight. Retrieved December 27, 2022. Fetterman ... frequently had Franco Harris supporting his campaign
  368. ^ "John Fetterman 'rolls up his sleeves' in hometown Pa. Rally". Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. October 8, 2022. Retrieved October 17, 2022.
  369. ^ a b "Kurt Vile & Dave Matthews Endorse Pennsylvania US Senate Candidate John Fetterman".
  370. ^ "Join John Fetterman and Paul Rudd!".
  371. ^ "Kerry Washington hits the streets in the battle for U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania". MSNBC. November 6, 2022. 05:45. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  372. ^ Calvario, Liz (November 3, 2022). "Oprah Winfrey announces her support for Dr. Oz opponent, John Fetterman". Today. Retrieved November 3, 2022.
  373. ^ Griswold, Eliza (November 9, 2022). "The Unlikely Victory of John Fetterman". The New Yorker.
  374. ^ Brownstein, Ronald (October 10, 2023). "McCarthy's fall and Trump's rise reflect the same bet among Republicans". CNN. Retrieved October 10, 2023.
  375. ^ "2022 General Election Official Returns - United States Senator". Pennsylvania Department of State.
  376. ^ "2022 General Election Official Returns - United States Senator - County Breakdown". Pennsylvania Department of State.
  377. ^ Results. docs.google.com (Report).
  378. ^ 2022 US Senate election results by precinct
  379. ^ a b "Exit polls for Midterm Election Results 2022 | CNN Politics". CNN. Retrieved November 19, 2022.

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