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The featured US onAir NetworkĀ post this week is on theĀ Impact of AI on Education
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PBS NewsHour, May 8, 2025 – 6:00 am to 6:00 pm (ET)
In this weekās conversation, Yascha Mounk, Elaine Kamarck, and William Galston explore why the Democrats arenāt building long-term coalitions, how the Democrats lost the working class, and how centrists in the party can create a compelling offer for voters.
Mounk:Ā Iād always read about this famous paper, āThe Politics of Evasion,ā and I’m obviously well acquainted with both of your work, but I must admit that I hadn’t read it until yesterday, and I just fell out of my chair reading the paper, noticing how similar the situation after Democrats lost to George H.W. Bush in 1988 was compared to how you might analyze it today. Take us back to that moment and explain to us what the problems were that you were analyzing in āThe Politics of Evasion.ā
Kamarck:Ā We’d lost several presidential elections in a row, even though the party was still quite strong at the congressional level and at the local level. So we were living in a sort of a myth that really nothing was wrong. It was just that Ronald Reagan was so charismatic, et cetera. Then we lost to George H. W. Bush, who was anything but charismatic. We really had to have a ācome to Jesusā moment, as we say. And we had to look at the party and sayĀ something’s really wrong here. Of course, what was wrong was something that we’ve seen since, which is that the Democrats were fundamentally out of step with most of the country on values. And they were turned off by the national Democrats, even though at that point in time, they continued to elect Democrats to the House and to the Senate. So there was this need for the party to take a hard look at itself.
Pepperspectives, – May 10, 2025
The Model
While explosions in small-dollar contributions have been working wonders supporting federal candidates in certain swing states in recent years,Ā almost no money flows to most statehouse candidates.
And since itās statehouses where most of the attacks on democracy and extremism have been doing the most damage,Ā the lack of meaningful support for most statehouse candidates turns out to be a huge problem for democracy.Ā Even worse, that lack of support is leaving huge numbers of these districts (the very districts where the most damage is being done)Ā notĀ contested at all.Ā (Because why run if no one cares enough to support your candidacy?) And that, of course, makes the problem even worse. A downward spiral of extremism and anti-democracy, wholly uninterrupted by the other side or even a modicum of accountability.
In my bookĀ Saving Democracy, I equate the situation to a soccer game where one team is always on offense (extreme statehouses are the forwards, shooting at the goal non-stop). And the other team hardly plays defense against them:
Old Goats, – May 8, 2025
The new pope wonāt. Heās a sensible liberal who, three weeks ago, retweeted a post slamming Trumpās deportation of Kilmar Abrego Garcia: āDo you not see the suffering? Is your conscience not disturbed? How can you stay quiet?ā He also retweeted a post reading: āJD Vance is wrong: Jesus doesn’t ask us to rank our love for others.ā
When FDR was later asked for the roots of his political philosophy, he replied: āIām a Christian and a Democrat.ā Thereās no question that the new social contract he struck was connected at a deep, instinctive level to the moral and social values articulated by Leo XIII.
Now the magnanimous spirit of the New Deal is under attack as never before. But help is on the way, courtesy of a South Side guy who may end up serving as the conscience of his country and the world.
Old Goats, – May 8, 2025
The new pope wonāt. Heās a sensible liberal who, three weeks ago, retweeted a post slamming Trumpās deportation of Kilmar Abrego Garcia: āDo you not see the suffering? Is your conscience not disturbed? How can you stay quiet?ā He also retweeted a post reading: āJD Vance is wrong: Jesus doesn’t ask us to rank our love for others.ā
When FDR was later asked for the roots of his political philosophy, he replied: āIām a Christian and a Democrat.ā Thereās no question that the new social contract he struck was connected at a deep, instinctive level to the moral and social values articulated by Leo XIII.
Now the magnanimous spirit of the New Deal is under attack as never before. But help is on the way, courtesy of a South Side guy who may end up serving as the conscience of his country and the world.
In a little noticed interview, Meta founder Mark Zuckerberg offers a host of exceptionally creepy comments.
Lots of important monopoly-related things happened last week. Now that Appleās app store monopoly is broken, developers are cutting prices and building cool stuff. The tariff shock is about to hit in force, but the stock market has recovered all of its losses since April 2nd. Plus a lot more.
But before getting to the full round-up, I want to focus on the social future that Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg is building for all of us, whether we like it or not, and how reliant it is on the firmās market power.
Take a recent viral clip about a future of AI friends, therapists, and girlfriends, from an interview he did on the DwarkeshĀ podcast. Zuckerberg talked how Americans on average have only three friends, but want fifteen. He then explained that though emotional connections with AI bots are socially disfavored now, eventually society will āfind the vocabularyā to understand that people who use AI to fill a hole of loneliness in their lives are ārational.ā
Old Goats, – May 8, 2025
The new pope wonāt. Heās a sensible liberal who, three weeks ago, retweeted a post slamming Trumpās deportation of Kilmar Abrego Garcia: āDo you not see the suffering? Is your conscience not disturbed? How can you stay quiet?ā He also retweeted a post reading: āJD Vance is wrong: Jesus doesn’t ask us to rank our love for others.ā
When FDR was later asked for the roots of his political philosophy, he replied: āIām a Christian and a Democrat.ā Thereās no question that the new social contract he struck was connected at a deep, instinctive level to the moral and social values articulated by Leo XIII.
Now the magnanimous spirit of the New Deal is under attack as never before. But help is on the way, courtesy of a South Side guy who may end up serving as the conscience of his country and the world.
Old Goats, – May 8, 2025
The new pope wonāt. Heās a sensible liberal who, three weeks ago, retweeted a post slamming Trumpās deportation of Kilmar Abrego Garcia: āDo you not see the suffering? Is your conscience not disturbed? How can you stay quiet?ā He also retweeted a post reading: āJD Vance is wrong: Jesus doesn’t ask us to rank our love for others.ā
When FDR was later asked for the roots of his political philosophy, he replied: āIām a Christian and a Democrat.ā Thereās no question that the new social contract he struck was connected at a deep, instinctive level to the moral and social values articulated by Leo XIII.
Now the magnanimous spirit of the New Deal is under attack as never before. But help is on the way, courtesy of a South Side guy who may end up serving as the conscience of his country and the world.
The years of my youth must have been such a disappointment for sci-fi fans of my parentsā generation. They were raised on stories of spaceships soaring between the stars, and they grew up to see the space shuttle explode and humankind abandon the moon. They grew up expecting flying cars and robot servants, but as they reached middle age they were still trundling along the ground and doing their own laundry.
Though Iāll still go back and read some stuff from the 80s and 90s, I stopped readingĀ newĀ cyberpunk about a decade ago. Around that time it became clear that the pace of real technological change had overtaken authorsā imaginations; newly written cyberpunk fiction began to feel retrofuturistic, like someone writing about the present and getting it wrong. Meanwhile all I had to do to see fantastic techno-futures unfold around me was to read the news.
There are plenty of other ways in which new technologies might lead to dystopian outcomes. Beyond the obvious ones ā rogue AGI and bioterrorism ā thereāsĀ the possibilityĀ that modern technology might make replacement-level fertility impossible, leading to a grim, gray, shrinking world where working people have toĀ toil ever longer and harderĀ to support vast armies of the aged. Smartphones equipped with social media might also be leading to an epidemic ofĀ depression, loneliness, andĀ reduced cognitive skills.
Paul Krugman (Substack) – May 2, 2025
Why should those who arenāt scientists care? In the 21stĀ century, science isnāt some esoteric intellectual affair. Itās the foundation of social and economic progress. And no, we canāt expect the private sector to fill the gap left by loss of government support. Basic research is aĀ public good: it generates real benefits, but those benefits canāt be monetized because everyone can make use of the knowledge gained. So government support is the only way to sustain science. And that support is being rapidly ended.
But why do our new rulers want to destroy science in America? Sadly, the answer is obvious: Science has a tendency to tell you things you may not want to hear. Medical research may tell you that vaccines work and donāt cause autism. Energy research may tell wind power works and doesnāt massacre birds.
The Growth Equation Newsletter, – May 1, 2025
How do you know when you have too much going on?
The two clearest indicators: either a decline inĀ objective performanceĀ orĀ subjective experience.Ā The numbers go down, the stress increases, or some combination of both. But these are end games you want to avoid. Ideally, you spot the issue in advance. It is easier to prevent overload than to escape or reverse it.
Cooking wellāliterally or metaphoricallyāmeans deciding how many burners you can have going, what should be boiling, and when it does so.
Make this metaphor work for you by reflecting on how many burners youāve got going and the heat of each. You can check in at the beginning of every week to prioritize which burners need to be actively boiling versus which you can keep on a simmer. You could even put this visualization on a whiteboard in your office. If you start to feel like the entire kitchen is getting out of control, thatās a sign to turn down a burner or two, or perhaps, even eliminate some altogether.
We all want to cook, but none of us want to burn down the kitchen. Hopefully, this helps.
Lisa Su explores the current state and future of AI, U.S.-based chip manufacturing
As someone with a front-row seat to the AI race, Lisa Su, CEO of Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), a company that designs and develops the chips behind AI advances, knows that in order to keep the U.S. competitive in the sector, her engineers must work on a timeline that has ānegative slack.ā Put simply: They must work faster than their runway.
āI say itās negative slack is because the industry is moving so fast,ā she said, speaking of the AI sector at a live podcast recording ofĀ On with Kara SwisherĀ at the Hopkins Bloomberg Center. āIāve just not seen an industry move this fast.ā
The speed of innovationāand how it intersects with issues like tariffs and export controlsāis top of mind for Su as her company navigates an industry thatās at the center of national security and tech innovation. Here are four things sheās seeing play out in AI and what she sees as critical to ensuring the U.S. remains ahead.
Notes From The Circus, – May 9, 2025
Why Humanityāand DignityāShouldn’t Surrender to Technological Inevitability
TheĀ effective accelerationismĀ movement (e/acc) presents itself as an enlightened embrace of technological progress, especially artificial general intelligence. Led by figures likeĀ Guillaume VerdonĀ and embraced by venture capitalists likeĀ Marc Andreessen, the movement claims humanity faces a binary choice: āaccelerate or die.ā Those who question this narrative are dismissed as ādecelsā or ādoomersā standing in the way of humanity’s cosmic destiny.
What’s actually at stake in this debate isn’t just the pace of innovation but whether humans meaningfully shape their own future.Ā E/acc’s seductive simplicityāits promise that surrendering to technological inevitability will solve humanity’s problemsācan slide quickly into authoritarian governance justified by āinevitableā technological imperatives. We’re already seeing these dynamics at work in real-world contexts, as when the Trump administration uses tariffs as leverage toĀ forceĀ countries to accept Elon Musk’sĀ Starlinkāa fusion of technological and political power that bypasses democratic accountability.
The center must be held against this technological determinism. Two plus two equals four means we must always insist on seeing reality clearly, not through the distorting lens of inevitability narratives that conveniently serve those already in power. Human dignity and democratic legitimacy aren’t obstacles to technological advancementāthey’re its moral foundation. Without them, technology inevitably becomes not a force for liberation, but merely another form of authoritarian controlāno matter how brightly it smiles.
The One Percent Rule, – May 10, 2025
What happens to a society when intelligence itself becomes a commodity? That is the question posed throughout the National Academy of Sciences 2025 report,Ā Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Work. The work is not prophecy, nor should it be mistaken for one of Silicon Valley’s breathless manifestos. It is, rather, a sober, meticulous reckoning with the ambiguous, disquieting, and often paradoxical forces unleashed by the rise of AI. Strategic, unvarnished, and disturbingly persuasive.
The authors are not alarmists, but their findings demand our attention. The committee, featuring renowned researchers such asĀ Erik Brynjolfsson,Ā David Autor,Ā Tom Mitchell, and others remind us that AI, as a general-purpose technology, joins the ranks of electricity and the steam engine, tools that did not merely make us faster but rewrote the coordinates of productivity.
Future of Life Institute, – May 1, 2025
Today’s newsletter is a nine-minute read. Some of what we cover this month:
š«Ā AI companies are sacrificing safety for the AI race
šļø āWorldbuilding Hopeful Futures with AIā course
š¤³Ā Reminder: Apply to our Digital Media Accelerator!
šļø New AI publications to share
OpenAI, Google Accused of New Safety Gaps
As the race to dominate the AI landscape accelerates, serious concerns about Big Techās commitment to safety are mounting.
Recent reports reveal that OpenAI has drastically reduced the time spent on safety testing before releasing new models, with theĀ Financial TimesĀ reporting that testers, both from staff and third party groups, have now been given only days to conduct evaluations that previously wouldāve taken months. In a double whammy, OpenAI also announced they willĀ no longer evaluateĀ their models for mass manipulation and disinformation as critical risks.
Google and Meta have also come under fire in the past few weeks for similarly concerning approaches to safety. Despite past commitments to public security, neither Googleās new Gemini Pro 2.5 nor Metaās new Llama 4 open modelsĀ were releasedĀ with important safety details included in their technical reports and evaluations.
We are, as a species, compulsive askers. The toddler’s incessant āWhy?ā is not merely endearing, it is a form of epistemic insubordination against adult complacency. But somewhere between primary school worksheets and committee meetings, the question gets tamed. Neutered. Reduced to a polite gesture of clarification. If we are honest, most of us stop asking altogether.
AI now learns to ask. More precisely, it learns to prompt. Prompt engineering, the art of crafting inputs that elicit optimal outputs from large language models, shares uncanny DNA with complex question-asking. Both require clarity, creativity, context awareness, and the intuition to anticipate response structures. Raz and Kenett hint at this parallel: the better we train humans to ask, the better we will train machines to respond, and, potentially, to ask in turn. But this mutual bootstrapping carries its own paradox. As humans become more adept at crafting precise prompts for AI, an act that reflects the formulation of well-structured questions, they hone their own epistemic strategies.
In turn, AI systems respond with increasingly sophisticated outputs, some of which model, even if imperfectly, the heuristics of inquiry. The more we train these models to ask and answer, the more we are forced to refine what we mean by a āgoodā question. And yet,Ā the machineās question does not arise from anxiety or awe. It does not grieve its ignorance. We do. That is the irremediable difference.
And why “Am I Stronger Yet?” is now “Second Thoughts”
Itās Impossible To Make Sense of Whatās Being Written About AI.Ā Pick any relevant topic, and youāll find an equally confusing barrage of contradictory takes. There is an enormous amount of good work going into analysis of AI capabilities, impacts, and policy solutions. But these questions are so complex, evolving so rapidly, and tied into so many subjects of expertise, that itās impossible to keep up.
This Impacts Everything
AI sits at an unfortunate intersection. Itās moving too quickly for expert consensus to emerge or laypeople to keep up, and itās simultaneously very high stakes.
The potential applications of AI are so numerous theyāre hard to even summarize. It could revolutionize health care, turbocharge the economy, and provide a personalized full-time tutor to every child⦠if we donāt cripple it with unnecessary restrictions. It could also disrupt labor markets, unleash a wave of bioterrorism, and enable surveillance states the likes of which Orwell could never have imagined⦠if we donāt find ways to head that off.
Weāll be focusing on four broad topics:
- Timelines & CapabilitiesĀ ā how rapidly will AI development advance?
- Economic ImpactsĀ ā how quickly will AI be adopted, and what impact will this have on the economy? How can we ensure AI creates broad-based economic benefits?
- Democracy and GovernanceĀ ā how must democratic and other key institutions adapt to the challenges and opportunities that AI brings?
- Realizing BenefitsĀ ā what can we do to unlock and facilitate adoption of beneficial uses of AI?
The Generalist – May 6, 2025 (01:25:36)
In a world where attention is fragmented and algorithms rule the content landscape, Chris Best and Hamish McKenzie are taking a radically different approach with Substack. Rather than chasing clicks, Substack focuses on a simple yet powerful idea: creators should own their work and make money directly from their audience through paid subscriptions. With over 5 million paid subscriptions and tens of millions of active readers, Substack has turned this model into a transformative force in media.
In this episode, Chris and Hamish unpack how theyāre reshaping creator economics, navigating AIās role in creativity, and enabling a new era for writers, from serialized fiction to short-form video. Their bet? That if content adds real valueāwhether it educates, entertains, or helps people earnāaudiences will pay for it.
In our conversation, we explore:
- How Substack grew from a simple newsletter tool to a multi-format media platform with 5 million+ paid subscriptions
- Why the “soul connection” between creators and audiences is becoming more valuable in an AI-dominated world
- The inside story of Substack’s clash with Elon Musk and how it ultimately strengthened their platform
- Why the ceiling for great writing and culture might be much higher than we’re currently imagining
- How Substack’s subscription model creates dramatically better economics for creators than ad-supported platforms
- Chris’s “grand unified theory” for how AI will influence content creation and consumption
- Why their short-form content isn’t just a “sticky trick” but a pathway to deeper engagement and discovery
- The future of traditional prestige media brands
Timestamps
(00:00) Intro
(05:27) An overview of Substack and its current scale
(06:53) The origin story of Substack
(19:20) Finding the first believers
(24:17) Successful fiction on Substack, and why thereās potential for much more
(29:09) The different mediums available on Substack
(32:27) How Substackās feed differs from social media
(37:33) The clash with Elon Musk and Twitter/X
(47:23) How Substackās network helps creators succeed
(52:07) TikTok creators moving to Substack after the ban
(56:20) The future of paid media consumption
(58:24) Chris’s grand unified theory of AI and media
(1:07:07) Substackās AI tools
(1:10:54) Why itās hard to predict where AI is taking us next
(1:13:42) Advice for traditional media institutions
(1:16:48) Final meditations
Tech regulation: Barrier or catalyst to innovation?
Does tech regulation hold back tech innovation?
At the AI Action Summit in Paris earlier this year, U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance said, āWe believe that excessive regulation of the AI sector could kill a transformative industry just as itās taking off.ā
Regardless of your politics, his comment points to fundamental questions in tech policy:Ā Does regulation always hinder innovation? Or are there certain conditions where regulation can enable innovation?
In this weekās newsletter, we examine the relationship between tech regulation and tech innovation.
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